Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: Mercury Projected to Win According to Model for WNBA Game [6/28/2024]

Last updated: Jun 29, 2024, 1:59AM | Published: Jun 28, 2024, 4:10AM

The Phoenix Mercury will square off with the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Footprint Center on Friday, beginning at 10:00PM ET.

The Mercury, with the likes of Kahleah Copper, Brittney Griner and Diana Taurasi, are set to take on the Sparks, who feature Dearica Hamby, Rickea Jackson and Aari McDonald.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of the game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Sparks-Mercury game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Mercury's chance of winning is 80% , while the Sparks' is 20%."

Sparks vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's game between the Mercury and Sparks at Footprint Center is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury
Date: Friday, June 28, 2024
Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
Venue: Footprint Center

Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Sparks vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Sparks picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Sparks vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mercury an 80% chance of beating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Sparks (+10) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Sparks vs. Mercury Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sparks	Mercury
Spread	+10 (-108)	-10 (-112)
Moneyline	+455	-600
Total	o169.5 (-110)	u169.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sparks vs. Mercury Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Sparks vs. Mercury matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sparks vs. Mercury Player Props

WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Friday's Los Angeles vs. Phoenix game without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Footprint Center.

Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 14 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kahleah Copper is projected to finish with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mercury.

Sparks Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Dearica Hamby	14	8	3	1
Rickea Jackson	12	4	1	1
Aari McDonald	12	3	4	2
Stephanie Talbot	9	6	3	1
Kia Nurse	8	2	2	2

Mercury Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mercury:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Kahleah Copper	21	4	2	2
Brittney Griner	20	7	2	0
Diana Taurasi	18	4	4	3
Natasha Cloud	12	4	7	1
Rebecca Allen	9	4	1	2

For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA trends for today's games.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sparks vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Mac Douglass

Senior Sports Betting Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and a broad knowledge of sports to his role at Dimers. Specializing in previews for the NFL, particularly the NFC South and NFC East, Mac leverages his keen insights to provide detailed game analyses. He also offers best bets and props for MLB and race previews for Formula 1, a sport he has followed passionately alongside professional tennis and the NBA.

Known for his knack for discovering the best new user promos across major sportsbooks, Mac is dedicated to sharing these finds with the community, enhancing both the novice and veteran bettor's experience. Having lived in New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Melbourne, Australia, Mac's diverse experiences enrich his understanding of both American and international sports landscapes.