Lakers vs. Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Sunday's NBA Matchup [4/6/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder matchup.

Los Angeles Lakers-Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions and Game Preview.
Paycom Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Los Angeles Lakers and Oklahoma City Thunder this Sunday.

NBA action continues on Sunday at 3:30PM ET as the Los Angeles Lakers take on the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's LA Lakers-Oklahoma City game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Thunder with a win probability of 74%, while the Lakers have 26%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Lakers will look to Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves and LeBron James.

Doncic, the Lakers' latest star recruit, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 29 points and 4 threes.

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lakers vs. Thunder predictions page.

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Lakers vs. Lakers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 74% chance of defeating the Lakers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 118-111.

According to our model, the Lakers (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 230.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 7:38PM, Apr 6
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Lakers
Lakers +8.5
54%
46%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Thunder
Lakers LAL
Lakers +8.5
54%
46%
See Matchup
Thunder OKC
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Lakers vs. Thunder Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lakers Thunder
Spread +8.5 (-105) -8.5 (-115)
Moneyline +340 -375
Total o230.5 (-110) u230.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Lakers vs. Thunder Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Lakers vs. Thunder matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lakers vs. Thunder Player Props

Betting on Lakers vs. Thunder NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers in scoring, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the top scorer for the Thunder.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Lakers vs. Thunder Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's action between the Thunder and Lakers at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 3:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Lakers vs. Thunder matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any LA Lakers vs. Oklahoma City picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Lakers on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Keep up with the latest NBA news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most accurate probabilities for the NBA title.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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