Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win SNF Week 14 [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs matchup.

Los Angeles Chargers-Kansas City Chiefs Predictions and Game Preview.
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday.

The Kansas City Chiefs will square off with the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 14 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, starting at 8:20PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's LA Chargers-Kansas City game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 70%, while the Chargers have 30%."

This updated Chargers vs. Chiefs betting preview builds on my early Chargers vs. Chiefs prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Chargers vs. Chiefs predictions page.

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Chargers vs. Chiefs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 14 game between the Chiefs and Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Chargers vs. Chiefs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any LA Chargers vs. Kansas City picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Chargers and Chiefs 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 70% chance of beating the Chargers in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 24-19.

According to our model, the Chiefs (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 43-point over/under has a 57% chance of going over.

 

Along with our Chargers vs. Chiefs predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:

Chargers vs. Chiefs Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Chargers Chiefs
Spread +4.5 (-105) -4.5 (-110)
Moneyline +205 -238
Total o43 (-110) u43 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Chargers vs. Chiefs matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Chargers vs. Chiefs TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs. Chiefs?

According to our model, Kansas City's DeAndre Hopkins is most likely to score the first TD in Chargers vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Hopkins an 8.8% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs WR is a 36.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Los Angeles Chargers

Player First TD Probability
Gus Edwards 8.5%
Quentin Johnston 6.8%
Will Dissly 5.6%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player First TD Probability
DeAndre Hopkins 8.8%
Isiah Pacheco 8.7%
Kareem Hunt 7.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Gus Edwards 37.5%
Quentin Johnston 28.7%
Will Dissly 25.6%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Anytime TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 37.1%
DeAndre Hopkins 36.2%
Kareem Hunt 33.6%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 14 touchdown scorer predictions

Chargers vs Chiefs Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chargers and Chiefs. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chargers-Chiefs page now to access every player prop projection.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes.

Chargers Rushing

Gus Edwards, Kimani Vidal and Justin Herbert are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chargers.

Player Position
Gus Edwards RB
Kimani Vidal RB
Justin Herbert QB

Chiefs Rushing

Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt and Patrick Mahomes are expected to lead the Chiefs in rushing yards.

Player Position
Isiah Pacheco RB
Kareem Hunt RB
Patrick Mahomes QB

Chargers Receiving

Quentin Johnston, Will Dissly, Joshua Palmer, Gus Edwards and Tucker Fisk are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chargers.

Player Position
Quentin Johnston WR
Will Dissly TE
Joshua Palmer WR
Gus Edwards RB
Tucker Fisk TE

Chiefs Receiving

Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins, Xavier Worthy, Noah Gray and Isiah Pacheco are projected to lead the Chiefs in receiving yards.

Player Position
Travis Kelce TE
DeAndre Hopkins WR
Xavier Worthy WR
Noah Gray TE
Isiah Pacheco RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Chargers on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chargers vs. Chiefs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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