Chargers vs. Texans Prediction: Chargers Predicted to Win Wild Card Game [2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans matchup.

Los Angeles Chargers-Houston Texans Predictions and Game Preview.
NRG Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Houston Texans this Saturday.

The Houston Texans will face the Los Angeles Chargers on Wild Card weekend of the NFL Playoffs at NRG Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chargers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's LA Chargers-Houston game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Chargers are more likely to win, while the Texans have a lower chance of victory."

This updated Chargers vs. Texans betting preview builds on my early Chargers vs. Texans prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Chargers vs. Texans predictions page.

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Chargers vs. Texans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's game between the Texans and Chargers at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Chargers vs. Texans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any LA Chargers vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Chargers vs. Texans Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NFL matchup between the Chargers and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Chargers a 62% chance of beating the Texans. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 22-19.

According to our model, the Chargers (-2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

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Chargers vs. Texans Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Chargers Texans
Spread -2.5 (-120) +2.5 (+100)
Moneyline -160 +142
Total o42.5 (-110) u42.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chargers vs. Texans Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Chargers vs. Texans matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Chargers vs. Texans TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs. Texans?

According to our model, Houston's Joe Mixon is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chargers vs. Texans.

Our projections give Mixon a 12.5% chance of getting in for six first at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 48.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Los Angeles Chargers

Player First TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins 11.3%
Ladd McConkey 8.4%
Quentin Johnston 8.1%

Houston Texans

Player First TD Probability
Joe Mixon 12.5%
Nico Collins 11.0%
Dalton Schultz 5.0%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Anytime TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins 41.7%
Ladd McConkey 33.3%
Quentin Johnston 31.3%

Houston Texans

Player Anytime TD Probability
Joe Mixon 48.6%
Nico Collins 43.6%
Dalton Schultz 21.7%

Chargers vs Texans Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chargers and Texans. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chargers-Texans page now to access every player prop projection.

Chargers vs. Texans Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Texans' C.J. Stroud.

Chargers Rushing

J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards and Justin Herbert are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chargers.

Player Position
J.K. Dobbins RB
Gus Edwards RB
Justin Herbert QB

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, C.J. Stroud and Dameon Pierce are expected to lead the Texans in rushing yards.

Player Position
Joe Mixon RB
C.J. Stroud QB
Dameon Pierce RB

Chargers Receiving

Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Will Dissly, DJ Chark and Stone Smartt are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chargers.

Player Position
Ladd McConkey WR
Quentin Johnston WR
Will Dissly TE
DJ Chark WR
Stone Smartt TE

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Dalton Schultz, John Metchie, Joe Mixon and Diontae Johnson are projected to lead the Texans in receiving yards.

Player Position
Nico Collins WR
Dalton Schultz TE
John Metchie WR
Joe Mixon RB
Diontae Johnson WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Chargers, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Texans on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chargers vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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