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Chargers vs. Texans Prediction: Chargers Predicted to Win Wild Card Game [2025]
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans matchup.

The Houston Texans will face the Los Angeles Chargers on Wild Card weekend of the NFL Playoffs at NRG Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chargers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's LA Chargers-Houston game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Chargers are more likely to win, while the Texans have a lower chance of victory."
This updated Chargers vs. Texans betting preview builds on my early Chargers vs. Texans prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Chargers vs. Texans predictions page.
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Chargers vs. Texans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's game between the Texans and Chargers at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:30PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans
- Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
- Time: 4:30PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Texans and Chargers gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Chargers vs. Texans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any LA Chargers vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Chargers vs. Texans Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NFL matchup between the Chargers and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Chargers a 62% chance of beating the Texans. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 22-19.
According to our model, the Chargers (-2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Chargers vs. Texans Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type | Chargers | Texans |
---|---|---|
Spread | -2.5 (-120) | +2.5 (+100) |
Moneyline | -160 | +142 |
Total | o42.5 (-110) | u42.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chargers vs. Texans Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Chargers vs. Texans matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Chargers vs. Texans TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs. Texans?
According to our model, Houston's Joe Mixon is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chargers vs. Texans.
Our projections give Mixon a 12.5% chance of getting in for six first at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 48.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Los Angeles Chargers
Player | First TD Probability |
---|---|
J.K. Dobbins | 11.3% |
Ladd McConkey | 8.4% |
Quentin Johnston | 8.1% |
Houston Texans
Player | First TD Probability |
---|---|
Joe Mixon | 12.5% |
Nico Collins | 11.0% |
Dalton Schultz | 5.0% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Los Angeles Chargers
Player | Anytime TD Probability |
---|---|
J.K. Dobbins | 41.7% |
Ladd McConkey | 33.3% |
Quentin Johnston | 31.3% |
Houston Texans
Player | Anytime TD Probability |
---|---|
Joe Mixon | 48.6% |
Nico Collins | 43.6% |
Dalton Schultz | 21.7% |
Chargers vs Texans Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chargers and Texans. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chargers-Texans page now to access every player prop projection.
Chargers vs. Texans Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Texans' C.J. Stroud.
Chargers Rushing
J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards and Justin Herbert are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chargers.
Player | Position |
---|---|
J.K. Dobbins | RB |
Gus Edwards | RB |
Justin Herbert | QB |
Texans Rushing
Joe Mixon, C.J. Stroud and Dameon Pierce are expected to lead the Texans in rushing yards.
Player | Position |
---|---|
Joe Mixon | RB |
C.J. Stroud | QB |
Dameon Pierce | RB |
Chargers Receiving
Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Will Dissly, DJ Chark and Stone Smartt are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chargers.
Player | Position |
---|---|
Ladd McConkey | WR |
Quentin Johnston | WR |
Will Dissly | TE |
DJ Chark | WR |
Stone Smartt | TE |
Texans Receiving
Nico Collins, Dalton Schultz, John Metchie, Joe Mixon and Diontae Johnson are projected to lead the Texans in receiving yards.
Player | Position |
---|---|
Nico Collins | WR |
Dalton Schultz | TE |
John Metchie | WR |
Joe Mixon | RB |
Diontae Johnson | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Chargers, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Texans on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chargers vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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