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Chargers vs. Broncos Prediction: Chargers Predicted to Win in NFL Week 6 [2024]
The Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers will lock horns in Week 6 of the NFL season at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:05PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chargers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Chargers-Broncos game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chargers with a win probability of 63%, while the Broncos have 37%."
Chargers vs. Broncos Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Broncos and Chargers at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 4:05PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
- Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
- Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Broncos and Chargers gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Chargers vs. Broncos matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Broncos vs. Chargers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Chargers vs. Broncos Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Chargers and Broncos 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Chargers a 63% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 20-17.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Chargers and Broncos each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 37.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
In addition to our Chargers vs. Broncos predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:
Chargers vs. Broncos Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Chargers | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-104) | +3 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -154 | +130 |
| Total | o37.5 (-106) | u37.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chargers vs. Broncos Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Chargers vs. Broncos matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Chargers vs. Broncos TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs. Broncos?
According to our model, Los Angeles' J.K. Dobbins is most likely to score the first TD in Chargers vs. Broncos.
Our projections give Dobbins an 11.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Chargers RB is a 38.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 11.0% |
| Ladd McConkey | 8.5% |
| Quentin Johnston | 6.6% |
Denver Broncos
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 9.3% |
| Javonte Williams | 9.3% |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 5.8% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 38.7% |
| Ladd McConkey | 29.7% |
| Quentin Johnston | 23.9% |
Denver Broncos
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 34.3% |
| Javonte Williams | 33.4% |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 22.4% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 6 touchdown scorer predictions
Chargers vs Broncos Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chargers and Broncos. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chargers-Broncos page now to access every player prop projection.
Chargers vs. Broncos Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected to throw for more yards than the Broncos' Bo Nix.
Chargers Rushing
J.K. Dobbins, Kimani Vidal and Justin Herbert are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chargers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | RB |
| Kimani Vidal | RB |
| Justin Herbert | QB |
Broncos Rushing
Javonte Williams, Jaleel McLaughlin and Bo Nix are expected to lead the Broncos in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | RB |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB |
| Bo Nix | QB |
Chargers Receiving
Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Joshua Palmer, Will Dissly and Hayden Hurst are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chargers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | WR |
| Quentin Johnston | WR |
| Joshua Palmer | WR |
| Will Dissly | TE |
| Hayden Hurst | TE |
Broncos Receiving
Courtland Sutton, Lil'Jordan Humphrey, Troy Franklin, Javonte Williams and Marvin Mims are projected to lead the Broncos in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | WR |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR |
| Troy Franklin | WR |
| Javonte Williams | RB |
| Marvin Mims | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Chargers, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Week 6 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chargers vs. Broncos insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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