Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2025

Lorenzo Musetti will square off with Carlos Alcaraz in the final at the ATP Monte Carlo event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Musetti-Alcaraz match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Carlos Alcaraz with a win probability of 74%, while Lorenzo Musetti has 26%."

For a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Musetti vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

Musetti vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Musetti-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Alcaraz a 74% chance of beating Musetti at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 70% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Musetti	Alcaraz
Moneyline	+350	-500
First Set	+275	-357

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Musetti vs. Alcaraz Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Musetti vs. Alcaraz match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Musetti vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 6:00AM ET.

• Who: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025
• Approx. Time: 6:00AM ET/3:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Final

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Musetti vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Musetti at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Musetti vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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