Lions vs. Patriots Week 5 Prediction and Odds - Oct 9, 2022

The New England Patriots face the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 5 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Lions vs. Patriots, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.

This Detroit vs. New England betting analysis is sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a great No Sweat First Bet promo up to $1,000 for new customers.

Who will win Lions vs. Patriots?

Based on cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Lions-Patriots NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Patriots a 60% chance of beating the Lions in Week 5 of the NFL season.

More: Lions vs. Patriots Simulated 10,000 Times

Lions vs. Patriots Current Odds

• Spread: Patriots -3 (-105), Lions +3 (-110)
• Moneyline: Patriots -154, Lions +135
• Total: Over/Under 47 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Patriots are listed as -3 favorites versus the Lions, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Lions (+3) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at -154, which means you can risk $154 to win $100, for a total payout of $254, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at +135, where you can bet $100 to profit $135, earning a total payout of $235, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 47 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Lions and Patriots are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 47-point Over/Under is a 54% chance of going Under.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets for Lions vs. Patriots

• Spread: Patriots -3 @ -105 via PointsBet (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Patriots @ -154 via FanDuel Sportsbook (60% probability)
• Total: Under 47 @ -107 via PointsBet (54% probability)

Our best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7.

Lions vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Detroit vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 5 has the Patriots winning 24-21.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Lions-Patriots matchup in Week 5, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Lions vs. Patriots Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs. Patriots? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Lions and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Detroit's Jamaal Williams is most likely to score the first TD in Lions vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Williams a 13.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Lions RB is a 54.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Lions

• Jamaal Williams: 13.5% probability
• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 6.8% probability
• T.J. Hockenson: 6.6% probability
• Josh Reynolds: 6.5% probability
• Jared Goff: 3.2% probability

New England Patriots

• Damien Harris: 12.7% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.5% probability
• Hunter Henry: 7.2% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 6.0% probability
• DeVante Parker: 5.7% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Lions

• Jamaal Williams: 54.9% probability
• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 32.8% probability
• T.J. Hockenson: 31.3% probability
• Josh Reynolds: 30.9% probability
• Jared Goff: 16.9% probability

New England Patriots

• Damien Harris: 51.6% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 40.4% probability
• Hunter Henry: 32.2% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 27.8% probability
• DeVante Parker: 26.7% probability

Lions-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to have a big game with 267 passing yards, while the Patriots' Bailey Zappe is expected to throw for 203 yards.

Lions Starting QB

• Jared Goff: 267 projected yards

Patriots Starting QB

• Bailey Zappe: 203 projected yards

Lions Rushing

• Jamaal Williams: 72 projected yards
• Craig Reynolds: 15 projected yards
• Justin Jackson: 11 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Damien Harris: 58 projected yards
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 47 projected yards
• Bailey Zappe: 8 projected yards

Lions Receiving

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 81 projected yards
• Josh Reynolds: 53 projected yards
• T.J. Hockenson: 50 projected yards
• Kalif Raymond: 38 projected yards
• Tom Kennedy: 22 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Jakobi Meyers: 56 projected yards
• DeVante Parker: 46 projected yards
• Nelson Agholor: 38 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 36 projected yards
• Kendrick Bourne: 33 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Lions vs. Patriots on Sunday October 9, 2022.

Lions vs. Patriots 2022

The NFL Week 5 game between the Patriots and Lions at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday October 9, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

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