Lions vs. Packers Week 4 Prediction and Odds - September 28, 2023

NFL Week 4 action continues on Thursday at 8:15PM ET as the Detroit Lions square off with the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.

Dimers' best betting picks for Lions vs. Packers, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

Today's Detroit vs. Green Bay betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Who Will Win: Lions vs. Packers

Based on trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Lions-Packers NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lions a 63% chance of beating the Packers in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Lions vs. Packers Simulated 10,000 Times

Lions vs. Packers Odds

• Spread: Packers +1.5 (-105), Lions -1.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Packers +120, Lions -134
• Total: Over/Under 45 (-110/-110)

The Packers are currently +1.5 underdogs versus the Lions, with -105 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the favored Lions (-1.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -115.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Packers at +120. That means you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at -134, where you can risk $134 to win $100, for a total payout of $234, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 45 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Lions (-1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the spread, while the 45-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 4 Game

Best Bets: Lions vs. Packers

• Spread: Lions -1.5 @ -115 via BetMGM (66% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Lions @ -134 via FanDuel Sportsbook (63% probability) 🔥
• Total: Under 45 @ -110 via PointsBet (55% probability)

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets today across all sports.

Our best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you make more informed decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Lions vs. Packers Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Detroit vs. Green Bay at Lambeau Field in Week 4 has the Lions winning 23-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Lions-Packers game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Lions vs. Packers Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs. Packers? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Lions and Packers, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Lions vs. Packers.

DimersBOT gives Gibbs a 10.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Lions RB is a 42.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Lions

• Jahmyr Gibbs: 10.1% probability
• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.3% probability
• David Montgomery: 9.0% probability
• Sam LaPorta: 7.0% probability
• Josh Reynolds: 6.6% probability

Green Bay Packers

• Aaron Jones: 7.8% probability
• Christian Watson: 6.7% probability
• AJ Dillon: 6.5% probability
• Romeo Doubs: 6.4% probability
• Jordan Love: 5.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Lions

• Jahmyr Gibbs: 42.4% probability
• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 38.6% probability
• David Montgomery: 38.3% probability
• Josh Reynolds: 30.5% probability
• Sam LaPorta: 30.1% probability

Green Bay Packers

• Aaron Jones: 34.3% probability
• Christian Watson: 30.6% probability
• Romeo Doubs: 29.3% probability
• AJ Dillon: 29.1% probability
• Jordan Love: 26.3% probability

Lions-Packers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to have a big game with 283 passing yards, while the Packers' Jordan Love is expected to throw for just 184 yards.

Lions Starting QB

• Jared Goff: 283 projected yards

Packers Starting QB

• Jordan Love: 184 projected yards

Lions Rushing

• Jahmyr Gibbs: 45 projected yards
• David Montgomery: 45 projected yards
• Craig Reynolds: 7 projected yards

Packers Rushing

• Aaron Jones: 61 projected yards
• AJ Dillon: 44 projected yards
• Jordan Love: 21 projected yards

Lions Receiving

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 75 projected yards
• Sam LaPorta: 45 projected yards
• Josh Reynolds: 41 projected yards
• Kalif Raymond: 36 projected yards
• Jahmyr Gibbs: 31 projected yards

Packers Receiving

• Christian Watson: 60 projected yards
• Romeo Doubs: 41 projected yards
• Jayden Reed: 39 projected yards
• Luke Musgrave: 29 projected yards
• Aaron Jones: 23 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting insights ahead of Lions vs. Packers on Thursday September 28, 2023.

Lions vs. Packers 2023

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Packers and Lions at Lambeau Field is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
• Date: Thursday September 28, 2023
• Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
• Venue: Lambeau Field

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Lions vs. Packers picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NFL Analysis Like This?

So, you liked our Lions vs. Packers betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our NFL Betting News section has a detailed betting preview for every NFL matchup as soon as the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets, which allows us to produce the most accurate NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every single day of the NFL season.