Lions vs. Packers Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay

The 2023 NFL season is here and Dimers has got you covered for Thursday night's main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

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NFL +738 Same Game Parlay For Thursday

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown Scorer	+130
Luke Musgrave Under 38.5 Receiving Yards	-110
Josh Reynolds Over 31.5 Receiving Yards	-110

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Lions vs. Packers Parlay Analysis

Lions vs. Packers 8:15PM ET

LEG 1: Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Welcome back, Aaron Jones! The Packers' most versatile player put up 127 total yards and a pair of scores in Week 1 before injuring his hamstring. He missed the past two games and though the Packers have still shown upside without him, their backfield isn't producing as it can with Aaron Jones active and running, failing to score a TD via the backfield since. Our model gives Aaron Jones a 34% TD probability tonight, the highest on Green Bay and second-highest in this game to only Jahmyr Gibbs. As long as he's properly healthy, except AJ33 to get the ball often and in key situations like the red zone.

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LEG 2: Luke Musgrave Under 38.5 Receiving Yards

This is the highest edge we see on any prop in the TNF game according to DimersBOT, with a 76.9% probability and a 23.9% edge in the odds. Rookie tight end Luke Musgrave has gone over this number in two of his three games so far going 3 for 50, 2 for 25 and 6 for 49. Musgrave has been a popular target for Jordan Love in his first year as a starter, with 15 targets over his first three games, third-most on the team. His average of 11.3 YPC is a little skewed by some chunk plays, though, including a 37-yard reception in Week 1. Without his longest reception in each game, he goes under this number every time. Christian Watson and Aaron Jones are expected back tonight, and even if they're on a snap count, they'll likely siphon some targets away from Musgrave.

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LEG 3: Josh Reynolds Over 31.5 Receiving Yards

After registering four catches for 80 yards in the season-opener and five catches for 66 with a pair of TDs in Week 2,  Josh Reynolds entered Week 3 with a groin injury. He ended up being active for the game and registered 0 targets despite playing 70% of the team's snaps. He was a critical piece of the offense in the Lions' first two games and has shown he's a reliable WR2 on a team that can support multiple successful wide receivers. The Packers have a stingy passing defense but have allowed multiple opposing receivers or tight ends to hit this mark in every game so far, even with Desmond Ridder and Justin Fields under center. DimersBOT gives Reynolds a 55.6% probability of clearing this mark tonight.

🏈 Lions vs. Packers Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Lions vs. Packers

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NFL +738 Same Game Parlay Thursday, September 28, 2023

1️⃣ Aaron Jones Anytime TD
2️⃣ Luke Musgrave Under 38.5 Receiving Yards
3️⃣ Josh Reynolds Over 31.5 Receiving Yards

The best odds for this SGP are over at Bet365 and are subject to change.

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