Lightning vs. Senators Prediction and Odds - November 4, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Lightning vs. Senators Prediction and Odds - November 4, 2023

The Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning will lock horns in the NHL at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' prediction for Saturday's Lightning vs. Senators matchup, as well as the latest odds and our full game preview, are detailed in this article.

 

Who Will Win: Lightning vs. Senators

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Lightning-Senators NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, can't split the two teams, giving both the Lightning and Senators a 50% chance of winning the game.

More: Lightning vs. Senators Simulated 10K Times

Lightning vs. Senators Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Senators -1.5 (+190), Lightning +1.5 (-230)
  • Moneyline: Senators -114, Lightning +105
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-134/+125)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

The Senators are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Lightning, with +190 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -230.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Senators at -114. That means you can risk $114 to win $100, for a total payout of $214, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +105, where you can bet $100 to profit $105, earning a total payout of $205, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -134, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at +125.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NHL Matchup

Best Bets: Lightning vs. Senators

 

Every time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best free picks today across any sport.

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

Lightning vs. Senators Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Lightning vs. Senators game, including pregame predictions, the best picks, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs. Senators Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Senators? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Senators.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Ottawa's Tim Stutzle is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Senators.

DimersBOT gives Stutzle a 7.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the Senators star is a 36.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Brayden Point: 6.1% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 6.0% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 5.8% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 5.6% probability
  • Nick Paul: 4.0% probability

Ottawa Senators

  • Tim Stutzle: 7.5% probability
  • Brady Tkachuk: 6.5% probability
  • Josh Norris: 6.1% probability
  • Vladimir Tarasenko: 5.7% probability
  • Claude Giroux: 5.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Brayden Point: 34.3% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 33.5% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 31.2% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 27.7% probability
  • Nick Paul: 22.3% probability

Ottawa Senators

  • Tim Stutzle: 36.6% probability
  • Brady Tkachuk: 34.7% probability
  • Josh Norris: 32.1% probability
  • Vladimir Tarasenko: 29.7% probability
  • Claude Giroux: 29.0% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Lightning vs. Senators on Saturday November 4, 2023.

 

Lightning vs. Senators Preview

Saturday's action between the Senators and Lightning at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

How to Bet on Lightning vs. Senators

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL today? We've listed the best available sign-up offers in each legal betting state.

Conclusion

This comprehensive game preview features our Lightning vs. Senators prediction and NHL odds.

Our predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Lightning vs. Senators predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NHL Analysis Like This?

So, you liked our Lightning vs. Senators betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our NHL Betting News page has a comprehensive betting preview for every NHL matchup as soon as the sportsbooks release their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets. This allows us to produce the most reliable NHL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

In addition to our leading NHL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NHL prop bets today, projecting first and anytime goal scorers, and more against the best odds available every single day of the NHL season.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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