Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - November 6, 2023

NHL action continues on Monday at 7:00PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Dimers' prediction for Monday's Lightning vs. Maple Leafs matchup, plus the latest odds and our in-depth game preview, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

Using advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Monday's Lightning-Maple Leafs NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Maple Leafs a 56% chance of winning against the Lightning.

More: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Simulated 10,000 Times

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+164), Lightning +1.5 (-175)
• Moneyline: Maple Leafs -150, Lightning +130
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+120)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

The Maple Leafs are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Lightning, with +164 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -175.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -150. That means you can risk $150 to win $100, for a total payout of $250, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +130, where you can put down $100 to profit $130, earning a total payout of $230, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -135, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at +120.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

• Puck Line: Lightning +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM (66% probability)
• Moneyline: Lightning @ +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook (0.8% edge)
• Total: Under 6.5 @ +120 via PointsBet (51% probability) 🔥

Every time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Lightning moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full coverage of Monday's Lightning vs. Maple Leafs game, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Maple Leafs.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Monday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 10.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 51.7% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 6.4% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 5.7% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 5.5% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 4.7% probability
• Nick Paul: 3.5% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 10.8% probability
• William Nylander: 6.4% probability
• John Tavares: 5.8% probability
• Mitchell Marner: 5.2% probability
• Tyler Bertuzzi: 4.6% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 34.8% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 33.5% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 30.3% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 26.5% probability
• Nick Paul: 22.3% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 51.7% probability
• William Nylander: 36.2% probability
• John Tavares: 33.2% probability
• Mitchell Marner: 31.0% probability
• Tyler Bertuzzi: 25.9% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this article for any changes to our betting insights before Lightning vs. Maple Leafs on Monday November 6, 2023.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Preview

Monday's action between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Monday November 6, 2023
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

How to Bet on Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL now? We've listed the best available sign-up offers in each legal betting state.

Conclusion

This extensive game preview highlights our Lightning vs. Maple Leafs prediction and NHL odds.

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Lightning vs. Maple Leafs picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What Other NHL Games Are on Tonight?

The Lightning and Maple Leafs aren't the only two NHL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for every single NHL matchup via our NHL predictions. Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Puck Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!

In addition to our leading NHL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NHL prop bets today, projecting first and anytime goal scorers, and more against the best odds available every day of the NHL season.