NHL
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - Dec 20, 2022
The Toronto Maple Leafs square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.
Dimers' best betting picks for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.
Who will win Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Tuesday's Lightning-Maple Leafs NHL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 55% chance of winning against the Lightning.
More: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Simulated 10K Times
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds
- Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+198), Lightning +1.5 (-215)
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs -130, Lightning +120
- Total: Over/Under 6 (-110/-105)
Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Maple Leafs are listed as -1.5 favorites against the Lightning, with +198 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -215.
FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -130. That means you can risk $130 to win $100, for a total payout of $230, if they get the W.
On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +120, where you can put down $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.
The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) are a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6 goals is a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Best Prop Bets Today
Best Bets for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
- Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 @ +198 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Moneyline: Lightning @ +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Total: Over 6 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (52% probability)
Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and gambling expertise to help you make better decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.
Although the Lightning are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.
And while the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Lightning moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Probabilities
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Dimers has full betting coverage of Tuesday's Lightning-Maple Leafs matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live scores.
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Maple Leafs.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Tuesday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs.
DimersBOT gives Matthews an 11.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 48.4% chance of registering an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Tampa Bay Lightning
- Steven Stamkos: 6.4% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 6.3% probability
- Brayden Point: 5.2% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 4.2% probability
- Ross Colton: 3.7% probability
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 11.2% probability
- William Nylander: 6.7% probability
- Mitch Marner: 6.3% probability
- John Tavares: 6.2% probability
- Michael Bunting: 4.3% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Tampa Bay Lightning
- Steven Stamkos: 33.1% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 32.5% probability
- Brayden Point: 27.9% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 23.4% probability
- Ross Colton: 19.9% probability
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 48.4% probability
- William Nylander: 35.6% probability
- Mitch Marner: 32.6% probability
- John Tavares: 30.9% probability
- Michael Bunting: 25.1% probability
Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for the latest betting analysis ahead of Lightning vs. Maple Leafs on Tuesday December 20, 2022.
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs 2022 Game Info
Tuesday's game between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Tuesday December 20, 2022
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
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What other NHL games are on tonight?
Now you've got the 411 on Lightning vs. Maple Leafs, get the latest betting predictions for all upcoming NHL games in Dimers' NHL Bet Hub. There you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for every single NHL matchup.
Want a pick for the Puck Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!