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Raiders vs. Dolphins Prediction: Miami Predicted to Win in NFL Week 11 [2024]
The Miami Dolphins will square off with the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 11 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Raiders-Dolphins game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Dolphins with a win probability of 76%, while the Raiders have 24%."
This updated Raiders vs. Dolphins betting preview builds on our early Raiders vs. Dolphins prediction released at the start of the week.
For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Raiders vs. Dolphins predictions page.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 action between the Dolphins and Raiders at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins
- Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Dolphins and Raiders gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Raiders vs. Dolphins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Las Vegas vs. Miami picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Raiders vs. Dolphins Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Raiders and Dolphins 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Dolphins a 76% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Dolphins winning 25-18.
According to our model, the Raiders (+8) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
In addition to our Raiders vs. Dolphins predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:
Raiders vs. Dolphins Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raiders | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8 (-105) | -8 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +340 | -400 |
| Total | o43.5 (-108) | u43.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Raiders vs. Dolphins matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Raiders vs. Dolphins TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs. Dolphins?
According to our model, Miami's De'Von Achane is most likely to score the first TD in Raiders vs. Dolphins.
Our projections give Achane a 14.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB is a 54.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Brock Bowers | 8.2% |
| Jakobi Meyers | 6.7% |
| Alexander Mattison | 6.2% |
Miami Dolphins
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 14.2% |
| Tyreek Hill | 9.2% |
| Raheem Mostert | 6.5% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Brock Bowers | 36.0% |
| Jakobi Meyers | 30.9% |
| Alexander Mattison | 27.7% |
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 54.1% |
| Tyreek Hill | 38.1% |
| Raheem Mostert | 28.4% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 11 touchdown scorer predictions
Raiders vs Dolphins Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Dolphins. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Raiders-Dolphins page now to access every player prop projection.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Gardner Minshew is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa.
Raiders Rushing
Alexander Mattison, Zamir White and Ameer Abdullah are projected to be the leading rushers for the Raiders.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Alexander Mattison | RB |
| Zamir White | RB |
| Ameer Abdullah | RB |
Dolphins Rushing
De'Von Achane, Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Wright are expected to lead the Dolphins in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | RB |
| Raheem Mostert | RB |
| Jaylen Wright | RB |
Raiders Receiving
Jakobi Meyers, Brock Bowers, Tre Tucker, DJ Turner and Michael Mayer are projected to top the receiving yards for the Raiders.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | WR |
| Brock Bowers | TE |
| Tre Tucker | WR |
| DJ Turner | WR |
| Michael Mayer | TE |
Dolphins Receiving
Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Jonnu Smith, De'Von Achane and Odell Beckham are projected to lead the Dolphins in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | WR |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR |
| Jonnu Smith | TE |
| De'Von Achane | RB |
| Odell Beckham | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Dolphins, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 11 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raiders vs. Dolphins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.
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