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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]
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NFL action continues on Christmas Day at 1:00PM ET as the Las Vegas Raiders take on the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for Monday's Raiders vs. Chiefs matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used advanced machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Monday's NFL matchup between the Raiders and Chiefs 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.
Our popular predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs an 89% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 25-14.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and both the Raiders and Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point Over/Under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
This Las Vegas vs. Kansas City betting preview is presented by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raiders | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11 (-102) | -11 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +475 | -550 |
| Total | o40.5 (-105) | u40.5 (-110) |
- The Chiefs are listed as -11 favorites against the Raiders, with -118 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Raiders (+11) to cover the spread, DraftKings also has the best odds currently on offer at -102.
- FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -550. That means you can risk $550 to win $100 for a total payout of $650 if they get the W.
- Elsewhere, BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Raiders at +475, where you can bet $100 to profit $475, earning a total payout of $575 if they win.
- The Over/Under is set at 40.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, check out all of the sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks to place on this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders +11 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Chiefs | -550 |
| Total | Over 40.5 | -105 |
Our NFL best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every time.
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Raiders vs. Chiefs TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs. Chiefs?
According to our model, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first touchdown in Raiders vs. Chiefs.
Our projections give Pacheco a 12.1% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 45.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 9.1% |
| Zamir White | 8.6% |
| Jakobi Meyers | 5.9% |
| Ameer Abdullah | 5.6% |
| Austin Hooper | 2.4% |
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 12.1% |
| Travis Kelce | 10.7% |
| Rashee Rice | 9.7% |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 6.1% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 4.9% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 37.6% |
| Zamir White | 35.8% |
| Jakobi Meyers | 25.4% |
| Ameer Abdullah | 23.7% |
| Austin Hooper | 11.2% |
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 45.7% |
| Travis Kelce | 41.5% |
| Rashee Rice | 38.4% |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 25.0% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 21.3% |
Raiders vs Chiefs Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Raiders and Chiefs, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Aidan O'Connell is projected to have a quiet game with 187 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 259 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Aidan O'Connell (LV) | 187 yds |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 259 yds |
Raiders Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Zamir White | 70 yds |
| Ameer Abdullah | 17 yds |
| Aidan O'Connell | 11 yds |
Chiefs Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 60 yds |
| Patrick Mahomes | 24 yds |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 19 yds |
Raiders Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 70 yds |
| Jakobi Meyers | 32 yds |
| Hunter Renfrow | 29 yds |
| Austin Hooper | 22 yds |
| Tre Tucker | 16 yds |
Chiefs Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 67 yds |
| Rashee Rice | 59 yds |
| Richie James | 31 yds |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 31 yds |
| Noah Gray | 20 yds |
Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting insights before the Raiders vs. Chiefs on Monday December 25, 2023.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Game Information
The NFL Week 16 game between the Chiefs and Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday December 25, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Our full coverage of Raiders vs. Chiefs includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.
How to Bet on Raiders vs. Chiefs
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Raiders vs. Chiefs Week 14 clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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