Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots Prediction, Odds, Picks for NFL Week 15 [2023]

NFL Week 15 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the favored Kansas City Chiefs take on the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium.

Dimers' full betting preview for this week's Chiefs vs. Patriots game includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Chiefs-Patriots NFL game 10,000 times as part of our NFL picks for this week.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs an 87% chance of getting the W against the Patriots in Week 15 of the NFL season, with our predicted final score seeing the Chiefs winning 24-14.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Chiefs and Patriots have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 37 points also has a 53% chance of going Over.

Today's Kansas City vs. New England betting preview is presented by Bet365, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Chiefs	Patriots
Spread	-9.5 (-110)	+9.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-440	+375
Total	o37 (-110)	u37 (-105)

• The Patriots are currently +9.5 underdogs against the Chiefs, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the favored Chiefs (-9.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
• BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +375. That means you can bet $100 to profit $375, earning a total payout of $475, if they win.
• Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -440, where you can risk $440 to win $100, for a total payout of $540, if they come out on top.
• The Over/Under sits at 37 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

As always, check out all the legal sports betting sites available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Chiefs -9.5	-110
Moneyline	Chiefs	-440 🔥
Total	Over 37	-110

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets today across any sport.

Dimers' NFL best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

Chiefs vs. Patriots TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs. Patriots? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chiefs and Patriots this Sunday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Clyde Edwards-Helaire is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Edwards-Helaire a 10.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 37.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	10.2%
Travis Kelce	10.0%
Rashee Rice	9.6%
Jerick McKinnon	7.9%
Patrick Mahomes	5.3%

New England Patriots

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Ezekiel Elliott	9.3%
Demario Douglas	5.7%
DeVante Parker	5.5%
Bailey Zappe	4.4%
Hunter Henry	4.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	37.8%
Travis Kelce	36.3%
Rashee Rice	35.5%
Jerick McKinnon	31.1%
Patrick Mahomes	21.2%

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Ezekiel Elliott	37.1%
Demario Douglas	24.6%
DeVante Parker	23.4%
Bailey Zappe	18.9%
Hunter Henry	18.3%

Chiefs vs Patriots Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Chiefs and Patriots, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 255 passing yards. The Patriots' Bailey Zappe is expected to throw for 207 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Patrick Mahomes (KC)	255 yds
Bailey Zappe (NE)	207 yds

Chiefs Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	47 yds
Patrick Mahomes	23 yds
Jerick McKinnon	15 yds

Patriots Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Ezekiel Elliott	57 yds
Bailey Zappe	10 yds
Demario Douglas	5 yds

Chiefs Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Travis Kelce	74 yds
Rashee Rice	60 yds
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	26 yds
Jerick McKinnon	25 yds
Justin Watson	21 yds

Patriots Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Demario Douglas	52 yds
DeVante Parker	46 yds
Hunter Henry	26 yds
Ezekiel Elliott	21 yds
Tyquan Thornton	18 yds

Don't forget, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting insights before Chiefs vs. Patriots on Sunday December 17, 2023.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Game Information

The NFL Week 15 matchup between the Patriots and Chiefs at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday December 17, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Click or tap on See Matchup for full betting coverage of Chiefs vs. Patriots, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Patriots

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Chiefs vs. Patriots Week 14 matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Chiefs vs. Patriots predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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