Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 18 [2024]

The Los Angeles Chargers will square off with the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 18 action at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for Sunday's Chiefs vs. Chargers matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used powerful machine learning and data analysis to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Chiefs and Chargers 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Chargers a 60% chance of defeating the Chiefs in Week 18 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 19-17.

According to our model, the Chiefs (+3) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 35.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going over.

Today's Kansas City vs. LA Chargers betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Chiefs	Chargers
Spread	+3 (-104)	-3 (-118)
Moneyline	+154	-172
Total	o35.5 (-106)	u35.5 (-114)

• The Chargers are listed as -3 favorites versus the Chiefs, with -118 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Chiefs (+3) to cover the spread, FanDuel also has the best odds currently on the market at -104.
• FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chargers at -172. That means you can risk $172 to win $100 for a total payout of $272 if they get the W.
• On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at +154, where you can bet $100 to profit $154, earning a total payout of $254 if they win.
• The Over/Under sits at 35.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -106, as well as the best odds for the Under at -114.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sports betting sites you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Chiefs +3	-104 🔥
Moneyline	Chiefs	+154
Total	Over 35.5	-106

Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Dimers' best free picks of the day across all major pro and college sports.

While the Chargers are more likely to win the game, betting on the Chiefs moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Our NFL best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

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Chiefs vs. Chargers TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs. Chargers?

According to our model, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Chargers.

Our projections give Ekeler a 15.1% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Chargers RB is a 48.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First TD Probability
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	12.3%
Mecole Hardman	7.7%
Justin Watson	5.7%
Richie James	5.6%
Noah Gray	5.5%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player	First TD Probability
Austin Ekeler	15.1%
Joshua Palmer	9.5%
Alex Erickson	6.4%
Quentin Johnston	5.3%
Gerald Everett	4.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	41.5%
Mecole Hardman	27.2%
Justin Watson	21.5%
Noah Gray	20.7%
Richie James	20.5%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Austin Ekeler	48.5%
Joshua Palmer	33.7%
Alex Erickson	24.5%
Quentin Johnston	20.2%
Gerald Everett	18.0%

Chiefs vs Chargers Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Chiefs and Chargers, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Blaine Gabbert is projected to have a quiet game with 169 passing yards, while the Chargers' Easton Stick is expected to throw for 196 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Blaine Gabbert (KC)	169 yds
Easton Stick (LAC)	196 yds

Chiefs Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	44 yds
La'Mical Perine	19 yds
Keaontay Ingram	10 yds

Chargers Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Austin Ekeler	49 yds
Easton Stick	18 yds
Joshua Kelley	11 yds

Chiefs Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Richie James	36 yds
Justin Watson	28 yds
Noah Gray	28 yds
Mecole Hardman	28 yds
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	22 yds

Chargers Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Joshua Palmer	47 yds
Gerald Everett	46 yds
Quentin Johnston	36 yds
Alex Erickson	35 yds
Austin Ekeler	27 yds

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of the Chiefs vs. Chargers on Sunday January 7, 2024.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Game Information

The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Chargers and Chiefs at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
• Date: Sunday January 7, 2024
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

Our full coverage of Chiefs vs. Chargers includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Chargers

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Chiefs vs. Chargers Week 14 contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Chiefs vs. Chargers predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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