Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

The Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs will lock horns in Week 4 of the NFL season at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chiefs as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Chiefs-Chargers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 77%, while the Chargers have 23%."

Chiefs vs. Chargers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Chargers and Chiefs at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Chargers and Chiefs gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Chiefs vs. Chargers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Chargers vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Chiefs vs. Chargers Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Chiefs and Chargers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 77% chance of beating the Chargers in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 23-16.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Chiefs and Chargers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 39.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Chiefs	Chargers
Spread	-7.5 (-105)	+7.5 (-115)
Moneyline	-340	+300
Total	o39.5 (-115)	u39.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Chiefs vs. Chargers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Chiefs vs. Chargers TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Chargers?

According to our model, Kansas City's Rashee Rice is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Chargers.

Our projections give Rice an 11.1% chance of getting in for six first at SoFi Stadium, while the Chiefs WR is a 40.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First TD Probability
Rashee Rice	11.1%
Travis Kelce	9.7%
Carson Steele	8.9%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player	First TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins	8.9%
Gus Edwards	5.4%
Ladd McConkey	5.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Rashee Rice	40.5%
Travis Kelce	36.1%
Carson Steele	35.2%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins	34.7%
Ladd McConkey	23.3%
Gus Edwards	22.9%

Chiefs vs Chargers Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Chargers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chiefs-Chargers page now to access every player prop projection.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to throw for more yards than the Chargers' Justin Herbert.

Chiefs Rushing

Carson Steele, Samaje Perine and Patrick Mahomes are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chiefs.

Player	Position
Carson Steele	RB
Samaje Perine	RB
Patrick Mahomes	QB

Chargers Rushing

J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards and Justin Herbert are expected to lead the Chargers in rushing yards.

Player	Position
J.K. Dobbins	RB
Gus Edwards	RB
Justin Herbert	QB

Chiefs Receiving

Rashee Rice, Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Samaje Perine and Noah Gray are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chiefs.

Player	Position
Rashee Rice	WR
Travis Kelce	TE
Xavier Worthy	WR
Samaje Perine	RB
Noah Gray	TE

Chargers Receiving

Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Joshua Palmer, Hayden Hurst and Will Dissly are projected to lead the Chargers in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Ladd McConkey	WR
Quentin Johnston	WR
Joshua Palmer	WR
Hayden Hurst	TE
Will Dissly	TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Chargers on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chiefs vs. Chargers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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