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Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]
The Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs will lock horns in Week 4 of the NFL season at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:25PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Chiefs-Chargers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 76%, while the Chargers have 24%."
Chiefs vs. Chargers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Chargers and Chiefs at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.
- Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
- Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Chargers and Chiefs gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Chiefs vs. Chargers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Chargers vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Chiefs vs. Chargers Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Chiefs and Chargers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 76% chance of beating the Chargers in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 23-17.
According to our model, the Chiefs (-6.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
In addition to our Chiefs vs. Chargers predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:
Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Chiefs | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-120) | +6.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | -305 | +280 |
| Total | o41.5 (-114) | u41.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chiefs vs. Chargers Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Chiefs vs. Chargers matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Chiefs vs. Chargers TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Chargers?
According to our model, Kansas City's Rashee Rice is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Chargers.
Our projections give Rice an 11.4% chance of getting in for six first at SoFi Stadium, while the Chiefs WR is a 41.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rashee Rice | 11.4% |
| Carson Steele | 9.3% |
| Travis Kelce | 9.0% |
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 8.7% |
| Ladd McConkey | 5.8% |
| Joshua Palmer | 5.3% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rashee Rice | 41.6% |
| Carson Steele | 36.0% |
| Travis Kelce | 35.4% |
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 35.0% |
| Ladd McConkey | 24.0% |
| Joshua Palmer | 22.9% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions
Chiefs vs Chargers Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Chargers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chiefs-Chargers page now to access every player prop projection.
Chiefs vs. Chargers Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to throw for more yards than the Chargers' Justin Herbert.
Chiefs Rushing
Carson Steele, Samaje Perine and Patrick Mahomes are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chiefs.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Carson Steele | RB |
| Samaje Perine | RB |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB |
Chargers Rushing
J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards and Justin Herbert are expected to lead the Chargers in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | RB |
| Gus Edwards | RB |
| Justin Herbert | QB |
Chiefs Receiving
Rashee Rice, Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Samaje Perine and Noah Gray are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chiefs.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rashee Rice | WR |
| Travis Kelce | TE |
| Xavier Worthy | WR |
| Samaje Perine | RB |
| Noah Gray | TE |
Chargers Receiving
Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Joshua Palmer, Hayden Hurst and Will Dissly are projected to lead the Chargers in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | WR |
| Quentin Johnston | WR |
| Joshua Palmer | WR |
| Hayden Hurst | TE |
| Will Dissly | TE |
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Conclusion
We predict the Chiefs, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Chargers on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chiefs vs. Chargers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver is a seasoned sports betting and online gaming expert specializing in NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball and soccer, offering detailed game previews, best bets, props and futures articles.
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