Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Denver Predicted to Win in NFL Week 18 [2025]

The Denver Broncos will take on the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 18 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, beginning at 4:25PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Broncos as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Kansas City-Denver game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Broncos with a win probability of 84%, while the Chiefs have 16%."

This updated Chiefs vs. Broncos betting preview builds on my early Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction that I published at the start of the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions page.

HOLIDAYS EXCLUSIVE: Use code HOLIDAYS at checkout now to get 50% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

LIMITED TIME: Get 50% Off Pro with Code HOLIDAYS

Get Dimers Pro

Chiefs vs. Broncos Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 18 action between the Broncos and Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
• Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Broncos and Chiefs gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Chiefs vs. Broncos matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Kansas City vs. Denver picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Chiefs and Broncos 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Broncos an 84% chance of beating the Chiefs in Week 18 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 25-15.

According to our model, the Chiefs (+11.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Chiefs vs. Broncos matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every Chiefs-Broncos Pick

Get Dimers Pro

Chiefs vs. Broncos TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Broncos?

According to our model, Denver's Courtland Sutton is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Broncos.

Our projections give Sutton a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Broncos WR is a 48.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Denver Broncos

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Denver Broncos

Chiefs vs Broncos Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Broncos. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chiefs-Broncos page now to access every player prop projection.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Carson Wentz is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Broncos' Bo Nix.

Chiefs Rushing

Carson Steele, Samaje Perine and Carson Wentz are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chiefs.

Broncos Rushing

Jaleel McLaughlin, Audric Estime and Bo Nix are expected to lead the Broncos in rushing yards.

Chiefs Receiving

Nikko Remigio, Xavier Worthy, DeAndre Hopkins, Noah Gray and Hollywood Brown are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chiefs.

Broncos Receiving

Courtland Sutton, Marvin Mims, Devaughn Vele, Lil'Jordan Humphrey and Troy Franklin are projected to lead the Broncos in receiving yards.

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 18 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins, plus score three months of NBA League Pass regardless of the bet result!

Conclusion

We predict the Broncos, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Chiefs in Week 18 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chiefs vs. Broncos insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.