Chiefs vs. Browns Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win in NFL Week 15 [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs-Cleveland Browns Predictions and Game Preview.
Huntington Bank Field sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Cleveland Browns this Sunday.

NFL Week 15 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Kansas City Chiefs square off with the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Kansas City-Cleveland game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 66%, while the Browns have 34%."

This updated Chiefs vs. Browns betting preview builds on my early Chiefs vs. Browns prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Chiefs vs. Browns predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Chiefs vs. Browns Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 15 action between the Browns and Chiefs at Huntington Bank Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Chiefs vs. Browns matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Kansas City vs. Cleveland picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Chiefs vs. Browns Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Chiefs and Browns 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Chiefs a 66% chance of beating the Browns in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 23-19.

According to our model, the Browns (+4.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41 points has a 55% chance of going over.

 

Chiefs vs. Browns Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Chiefs Browns
Spread -4.5 (-105) +4.5 (-112)
Moneyline -225 +188
Total o41 (-110) u41 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chiefs vs. Browns Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Chiefs vs. Browns matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Chiefs vs. Browns TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Browns?

According to our model, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Browns.

Our projections give Pacheco a 12.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Huntington Bank Field, while the Chiefs RB is a 45.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player First TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 12.2%
DeAndre Hopkins 8.5%
Travis Kelce 6.7%

Cleveland Browns

Player First TD Probability
Jerry Jeudy 8.0%
Nick Chubb 7.4%
David Njoku 6.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Anytime TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 45.4%
DeAndre Hopkins 33.5%
Xavier Worthy 27.7%

Cleveland Browns

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jerry Jeudy 33.3%
Nick Chubb 30.9%
Elijah Moore 26.9%

Chiefs vs Browns Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Browns. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chiefs-Browns page now to access every player prop projection.

Chiefs vs. Browns Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to throw for more yards than the Browns' Jameis Winston.

Chiefs Rushing

Isiah Pacheco, Patrick Mahomes and Kareem Hunt are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chiefs.

Player Position
Isiah Pacheco RB
Patrick Mahomes QB
Kareem Hunt RB

Browns Rushing

Nick Chubb, Jerome Ford and Jameis Winston are expected to lead the Browns in rushing yards.

Player Position
Nick Chubb RB
Jerome Ford RB
Jameis Winston QB

Chiefs Receiving

Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins, Xavier Worthy, Noah Gray and JuJu Smith-Schuster are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chiefs.

Player Position
Travis Kelce TE
DeAndre Hopkins WR
Xavier Worthy WR
Noah Gray TE
JuJu Smith-Schuster WR

Browns Receiving

Jerry Jeudy, David Njoku, Elijah Moore, Michael Woods and Jerome Ford are projected to lead the Browns in receiving yards.

Player Position
Jerry Jeudy WR
David Njoku TE
Elijah Moore WR
Michael Woods WR
Jerome Ford RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 15 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chiefs vs. Browns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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