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Chiefs vs. Browns Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win in NFL Week 15 [2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns matchup.
NFL Week 15 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Kansas City-Cleveland game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 65%, while the Browns have 35%."
This updated Chiefs vs. Browns betting preview builds on my early Chiefs vs. Browns prediction that I published at the start of the week.
For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Chiefs vs. Browns predictions page.
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Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20FOOTBALL Get Dimers Pro Chiefs vs. Browns Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 15 action between the Browns and Chiefs at Huntington Bank Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns
- Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Huntington Bank Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Browns and Chiefs gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Chiefs vs. Browns matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Kansas City vs. Cleveland picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Chiefs vs. Browns Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Chiefs and Browns 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Chiefs a 65% chance of beating the Browns in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 22-19.
According to our model, the Browns (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 41-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:45PM, Dec 15
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Along with our Chiefs vs. Browns predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:
Chiefs vs. Browns Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Chiefs | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-108) | +4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +190 |
| Total | o41 (-110) | u41 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chiefs vs. Browns Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Chiefs vs. Browns matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Chiefs-Browns Pick Get Dimers Pro Chiefs vs. Browns TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Browns?
According to our model, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Browns.
Our projections give Pacheco a 12.4% chance of getting in for six first at Huntington Bank Field, while the Chiefs RB is a 45.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 12.4% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 8.2% |
| Xavier Worthy | 6.6% |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 8.0% |
| Jerry Jeudy | 7.9% |
| David Njoku | 6.5% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 45.4% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 33.0% |
| Xavier Worthy | 27.1% |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 33.1% |
| Nick Chubb | 31.3% |
| Elijah Moore | 27.0% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 15 touchdown scorer predictions
Chiefs vs Browns Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Browns. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chiefs-Browns page now to access every player prop projection.
Chiefs vs. Browns Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to throw for more yards than the Browns' Jameis Winston.
Chiefs Rushing
Isiah Pacheco, Patrick Mahomes and Kareem Hunt are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chiefs.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | RB |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB |
| Kareem Hunt | RB |
Browns Rushing
Nick Chubb, Jerome Ford and Jameis Winston are expected to lead the Browns in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | RB |
| Jerome Ford | RB |
| Jameis Winston | QB |
Chiefs Receiving
Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins, Xavier Worthy, Noah Gray and JuJu Smith-Schuster are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chiefs.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | TE |
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR |
| Xavier Worthy | WR |
| Noah Gray | TE |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR |
Browns Receiving
Jerry Jeudy, David Njoku, Elijah Moore, Michael Woods and Jerome Ford are projected to lead the Browns in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | WR |
| David Njoku | TE |
| Elijah Moore | WR |
| Michael Woods | WR |
| Jerome Ford | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Chiefs, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chiefs vs. Browns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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