Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for the Divisional Round

We're turning to the final game of the Divisional Round to cash our Primetime Parlay in the highly-anticipated Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills clash on Sunday night. We've sourced this parlay by using our best NFL props, powered by our cutting-edge predictive analytics models. By running 1000s of simulations on each game, Dimers can source the best NFL bets and best parlay picks to make each and every day.

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Our +679 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Same Game Parlay

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Josh Allen (BUF) Over 43.5 Rushing Yards	-110
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 252.5 Passing Yards	-110
James Cook (BUF) Anytime TD	+145

+679 Sunday Night Football Parlay Analysis

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills - Sunday, January 21, 6:30PM ET

LEG 1: Josh Allen (BUF) Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

It's a superstar parlay and we're starting off with one of the biggest in the NFL, Josh Allen. The Bills host the Chiefs in the latest edition of one of the game's biggest modern rivalries. From 13-second drives to OT winners and the offensive offsides call heard 'round the world, these games never disappoint and tonight should be no different. Josh Allen can break a big play with his legs at any point in the game, which he displayed in the Bills' Wild Card win over the Steelers with a 52-yard TD run. He's cleared this in three-straight going back to the regular season, with at least 8 carries in each game. 

DimersBOT projects Allen for 50 rushing yards tonight with a 60.9% probability to go over this mark, identifying an 8.5% edge in value against his -110 odds on offer, making this worthy as a singles play as well.

MORE: Our Best NFL Prop Picks for the Divisional Round Matchups 

LEG 2: Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 252.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Next, we're looking at the other star QB in this game to do what he does best and sling the ball en route to clearing his 252.5 passing yards mark. Patrick Mahomes is in the midst of his toughest season yet, as the Chiefs are still figuring out their identity in a post-Tyreek Hill world. It seems like they've finally found the path with rookie WR Rashee Rice emerging as their true WR1 option, a role they direly needed with Travis Kelce having his least productive season since before Patrick Mahomes was even the QB.

Despite those team struggles, Mahomes has still been Mahomes, clearing this mark in 9 games this season. In the Chiefs' tightly-contested Week 15 matchup with the Bills, Mahomes threw for 271 on 43 attempts. This game will undoubtedly be a banger and they'll need him to be at his peak. Guys like Travis Kelce and Mahomes show up in the playoffs and we see a 283-yard projection with a 60.6% probability of the over tonight.

LEG 3: James Cook (BUF) Anytime TD (+145)

For our touchdown prop, we're looking at the head of the Bills backfield, James Cook. At a 49.2% probability, Cook offers immense value, as that suggests he should be right around +105. His +145 odds imply a 40.8% probability which gives us an 8.4% edge against the books. Cook hasn't scored since his 2TD performance against the Cowboys, but he handled 22 total touches in the Bills' win over the Steelers last weekend, so the volume is certainly there for him to find his way in for a score.

🏈 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

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NFL +679 Same Game Parlay Sunday, January 21, 2024

1️⃣ Josh Allen (BUF) Over 43.5 Rushing Yards
2️⃣ Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 252.5 Passing Yards
3️⃣ James Cook (BUF) Anytime TD

The best odds for this SGP are over at FanDuel Sportsbook as of publishing and are subject to change.

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