Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - AFC Championship Game [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - AFC Championship Game [2024]

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs will lock horns in the AFC Championship Game of the NFL Playoffs at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for this week's Chiefs vs. Ravens matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Prediction: Ravens Backed To Win By Model

We have used powerful machine learning and data to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Chiefs and Ravens 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our famous predictive analytics model currently gives the Ravens a 67% chance of beating the Chiefs, and our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 23-19.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Chiefs and Ravens have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 44 points also has a 54% chance of going under.

This Kansas City vs. Baltimore betting preview is sponsored by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Chiefs Ravens
Spread +4.5 (-110) -4.5 (-108)
Moneyline +194 -218
Total o44 (-110) u44 (-105)
  • The Ravens are -4.5 favorites versus the Chiefs, with -108 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Chiefs (+4.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
  • DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Ravens at -218, which means you can risk $218 to win $100 for a total payout of $318 if they get the W.
  • FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at +194, where you can bet $100 to profit $194, earning a total payout of $294 if they win.
  • The Over/Under sits at 44 with BetMGM Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Ravens -4.5 -108
Moneyline Ravens -218
Total Under 44 -105

 

Dimers' NFL best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

Chiefs vs. Ravens TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Ravens?

According to our model, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Pacheco a 12.0% chance of getting in for six first at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 48.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player First TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 12.0%
Travis Kelce 9.8%
Rashee Rice 8.1%
Patrick Mahomes 4.6%
Mecole Hardman 3.5%

Baltimore Ravens

Player First TD Probability
Lamar Jackson 9.7%
Gus Edwards 8.9%
Zay Flowers 6.8%
Justice Hill 6.0%
Mark Andrews 5.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Anytime TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 48.3%
Travis Kelce 40.9%
Rashee Rice 35.5%
Patrick Mahomes 21.6%
Mecole Hardman 17.2%

Baltimore Ravens

Player Anytime TD Probability
Lamar Jackson 40.8%
Gus Edwards 37.4%
Zay Flowers 28.8%
Justice Hill 28.0%
Mark Andrews 26.1%

Chiefs vs Ravens Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Chiefs and Ravens, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 227 passing yards, while the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 244 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 227 yds
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 244 yds

Chiefs Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Isiah Pacheco 82 yds
Patrick Mahomes 21 yds
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 11 yds

Ravens Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Lamar Jackson 59 yds
Gus Edwards 46 yds
Justice Hill 39 yds

Chiefs Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Rashee Rice 67 yds
Travis Kelce 64 yds
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 24 yds
Justin Watson 19 yds
Isiah Pacheco 17 yds

Ravens Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Zay Flowers 50 yds
Mark Andrews 36 yds
Rashod Bateman 30 yds
Nelson Agholor 27 yds
Odell Beckham 23 yds

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of the Chiefs vs. Ravens on Sunday January 28, 2024.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Game Information

Sunday's action between the Ravens and Chiefs at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00PM ET.

 

Our full coverage of Chiefs vs. Ravens includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Ravens

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? Check out the top sports betting offers in your state, including DraftKings Sportsbook, where you get $200 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Kansas City vs. Baltimore.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on this week's Chiefs vs. Ravens matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Chiefs vs. Ravens picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the most recent NFL betting news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver is a seasoned sports betting and online gaming expert specializing in NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball and soccer, offering detailed game previews, best bets, props and futures articles.

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