Chiefs vs. Falcons Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for SNF Week 3 [2024]

The Atlanta Falcons will square off with the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 3 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 8:20PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chiefs as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Chiefs-Falcons game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 62%, while the Falcons have 38%."

Chiefs vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 3 action between the Falcons and Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024
• Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Falcons and Chiefs gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on NBC via Hulu or FuboTV

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Chiefs vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Falcons vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Chiefs vs. Falcons Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Chiefs and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 62% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 24-21.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Chiefs and Falcons each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Chiefs vs. Falcons Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Chiefs	Falcons
Spread	-3 (-112)	+3 (-102)
Moneyline	-162	+146
Total	o46.5 (-110)	u46.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chiefs vs. Falcons Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Chiefs vs. Falcons matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Chiefs vs. Falcons TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Falcons?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Falcons.

Our projections give Robinson a 12.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 52.1% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First TD Probability
Travis Kelce	8.4%
Carson Steele	8.3%
Rashee Rice	8.2%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	12.8%
Drake London	8.3%
Kyle Pitts	5.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Rashee Rice	37.5%
Travis Kelce	37.5%
Carson Steele	36.6%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	52.1%
Drake London	36.8%
Kyle Pitts	27.1%

Chiefs vs Falcons Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chiefs-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.

Chiefs vs. Falcons Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to throw for more yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.

Chiefs Rushing

Carson Steele, Samaje Perine and Patrick Mahomes are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chiefs.

Player	Position
Carson Steele	RB
Samaje Perine	RB
Patrick Mahomes	QB

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Jase McClellan are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Bijan Robinson	RB
Tyler Allgeier	RB
Jase McClellan	RB

Chiefs Receiving

Rashee Rice, Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Samaje Perine and Justin Watson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chiefs.

Player	Position
Rashee Rice	WR
Travis Kelce	TE
Xavier Worthy	WR
Samaje Perine	RB
Justin Watson	WR

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Bijan Robinson and Ray-Ray McCloud are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Drake London	WR
Darnell Mooney	WR
Kyle Pitts	TE
Bijan Robinson	RB
Ray-Ray McCloud	WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chiefs vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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