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Chiefs vs. Falcons Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for SNF Week 3 [2024]
The Atlanta Falcons and Kansas City Chiefs are scheduled to meet in Week 3 of the NFL season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 8:20PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Chiefs as the most likely winner of the game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Chiefs-Falcons game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 62%, while the Falcons have 38%."
Chiefs vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Falcons and Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:20PM ET.
- Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024
- Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Falcons and Chiefs gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on NBC via Hulu or FuboTV
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Chiefs vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Falcons vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Chiefs vs. Falcons Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Chiefs and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Chiefs a 62% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 24-21.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Chiefs and Falcons each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
As well as the above Chiefs vs. Falcons predictions, we also have the following locked and loaded for today's action:
Chiefs vs. Falcons Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Chiefs | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-115) | +3 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -168 | +145 |
| Total | o46.5 (-110) | u46.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chiefs vs. Falcons Picks
Our model's strongest edge in the Chiefs vs. Falcons matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Chiefs vs. Falcons TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Falcons?
According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Falcons.
Our projections give Robinson a 14.2% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 55.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rashee Rice | 9.2% |
| Carson Steele | 8.7% |
| Travis Kelce | 8.2% |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 14.2% |
| Drake London | 8.3% |
| Kyle Pitts | 5.7% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Kansas City Chiefs
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rashee Rice | 40.2% |
| Carson Steele | 38.7% |
| Travis Kelce | 36.6% |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 55.5% |
| Drake London | 37.2% |
| Kyle Pitts | 26.5% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 3 touchdown scorer predictions
Chiefs vs Falcons Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chiefs-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.
Chiefs vs. Falcons Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to throw for more yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.
Chiefs Rushing
Carson Steele, Samaje Perine and Patrick Mahomes are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chiefs.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Carson Steele | RB |
| Samaje Perine | RB |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB |
Falcons Rushing
Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | RB |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB |
| Kirk Cousins | QB |
Chiefs Receiving
Rashee Rice, Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Samaje Perine and Justin Watson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chiefs.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rashee Rice | WR |
| Travis Kelce | TE |
| Xavier Worthy | WR |
| Samaje Perine | RB |
| Justin Watson | WR |
Falcons Receiving
Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Bijan Robinson and Ray-Ray McCloud are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Drake London | WR |
| Darnell Mooney | WR |
| Kyle Pitts | TE |
| Bijan Robinson | RB |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Chiefs, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chiefs vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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