Joao Fonseca vs. Tommy Paul Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Joao Fonseca and Tommy Paul are scheduled to meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Saturday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Tommy Paul as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Fonseca-Paul match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Based on the latest updates and extensive data, we predict a 50-50 chance for both Joao Fonseca and Tommy Paul, making it a highly competitive match."

For further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Fonseca vs. Paul predictions page.

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Fonseca vs. Paul Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Fonseca-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model can't split the two players, giving both Fonseca and Paul a 50% chance of winning the match.

Additionally, both Fonseca and Paul have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities

Last Updated: 11:04PM, Apr 26

Moneyline

1st Set

JoaoFonseca

Win %

51%

49%

-189

+150

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See Matchup

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TommyPaul

JoaoFonseca

-189

Win %

51%

49%

See Matchup

TommyPaul

+150

Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

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Joao Fonseca vs. Tommy Paul Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Fonseca vs. Paul Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Fonseca vs. Paul match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Fonseca vs. Paul Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Joao Fonseca and Tommy Paul is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 3:30PM ET.

• Who: Joao Fonseca vs. Tommy Paul
• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Approx. Time: 3:30PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Fonseca vs. Paul match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Joao Fonseca vs. Tommy Paul picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
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Conclusion

We predict a close match between Fonseca and Paul on Saturday, with each player having a 50% chance of winning.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fonseca vs. Paul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.