Joao Fonseca vs. Elmer Moller Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Joao Fonseca will take on Elmer Moller in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Joao Fonseca as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Fonseca-Moller match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Joao Fonseca with a win probability of 61% and Elmer Moller with 39%."

For expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Fonseca vs. Moller predictions page.

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Fonseca vs. Moller Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Second Round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Fonseca-Moller men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Fonseca a 61% chance of defeating Moller at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Fonseca has a 59% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities

Last Updated: 11:06PM, Apr 24

Moneyline

1st Set

JoaoFonseca

Win %

61%

39%

-333

+250

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ElmerMoller

JoaoFonseca

-333

Win %

61%

39%

See Matchup

ElmerMoller

+250

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For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Joao Fonseca vs. Elmer Moller Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Fonseca vs. Moller Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Fonseca vs. Moller match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Fonseca vs. Moller Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Joao Fonseca and Elmer Moller is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 12:05PM ET.

• Who: Joao Fonseca vs. Elmer Moller
• Date: Thursday, April 24, 2025
• Approx. Time: 12:05PM ET/9:05AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Fonseca vs. Moller match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Joao Fonseca vs. Elmer Moller picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Joao Fonseca, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Elmer Moller at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fonseca vs. Moller insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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