Jayson Tatum Offers Value to Score First Basket in Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 [2024]

We have another exciting day of NBA Finals ahead of us, and we've run thousands of Game 4 simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Friday, June 14, 2024.

Friday's NBA Finals Game 4 is set to showcase players such as Luka Doncic, Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket in tonight's matchup.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors, and by using Friday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article provides a list of players our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4, as well as the players with the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket in the matchup.

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Who Will Score the First NBA Basket Tonight: June 14, 2024

With Game 4 of the NBA Finals between Boston and Dallas on the slate for tonight, we have determined the probabilities for each of the 10 likely starters to score the first basket:

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 14.8%.

Following him, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jaylen Brown at 13.9% and Jayson Tatum at 12.8%. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, which does not necessarily indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best NBA First Basket Picks Tonight: NBA Finals Game 4

After simulating the outcome of today's Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Friday.

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1. Jayson Tatum To Score First Basket

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Game: Celtics vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Game 4 between the Celtics and Mavericks. The bet is on Jayson Tatum (BOS) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.7%.

The next two suggested bets are on Jrue Holiday and Derrick White to score the opening basket in Celtics vs. Mavericks, which each providing an edge for bettors.

2. Jrue Holiday To Score First Basket

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 9.1%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Friday's Celtics vs. Mavericks Finals game is the result of our model finding an edge of 1.4% on Jrue Holiday (BOS) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Derrick White To Score First Basket

• Odds: +1300
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 7.6%
• Game: Celtics vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet for Game 4 of the 2024 Finals provides an edge of 0.4% on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: June 14, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for June 14, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, June 14, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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