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NFL Week 16 Player Props: Jaguars vs. Jets on Thursday December 22, 2022
We've got player props galore for what looks to be an exhilarating NFL Week 16 clash between the Jaguars and the Jets on Thursday Night Football. Luckily for you, we've also identified a number of different player prop performances for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from first touchdown props at MetLife Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props, below. Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this NFL Week 16 game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the New York Jets where we have the Jaguars registering a win. Based on our Jags-Jets props predictions, it also looks as though the Jaguars' Travis Etienne is in for a big night, with the Jacksonville RB featuring heavily in our projections. While names like Christian Kirk, Trevor Lawrence, Zonovan Knight, Zach Wilson and Michael Carter are also prominent, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.
RELATED: Can the Jags win the AFC South?
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Jaguars vs. Jets Props: Touchdowns
Wondering where to look in first TD props markets in this game between Jaguars vs. Jets? Well, the latest data for this Thursday Night Football matchup is in.
Listed below are our best first touchdown props and best anytime touchdown props for both the Jaguars and the Jets, as well as player prop predictions.
And you know what, we provide this player prop information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Thursday Night's game between Jacksonville and New York.
Scroll down for our complete list of first TD props and anytime TD prop predictions.
RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game
First Touchdown Scorer
According to our AI predictive analytics model, Jags' Travis Etienne is the best first TD prop bet to place in Jaguars vs. Jets.
The Dimers artificial intelligence machine gives Etienne a 12.8% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at FedExField.
The next best option is the Jags' Christian Kirk an 10.5% chance of reaching the endzone and cashing Thursday's first touchdown prop bets.
Below we list the Top-10 players most likely to hit the First Touchdown scorer prop bet in Thursday Night Football.
Player to score First TD | Probability % |
Travis Etienne (Jaguars) | 12.8% probability |
Christian Kirk (Jaguars) | 10.5% probability |
Zonovan Knight (Jets) | 9.6% probability |
Garrett Wilson (Jets) | 7.6% probability |
Corey Davis (Jets) | 6.2% probability |
Michael Carter (Jets) | 5.6% probability |
Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) | 4.9% probability |
Braxton Berrios (Jets) | 4.8% probability |
Evan Engram (Jaguars) | 4.6% probability |
Zay Jones (Jets) | 4.5% probability |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Jaguars RB Etienne is also a 45.4% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little safer.
Once again, the next best anytime touchdown scorer prop option is his Jacksonville teammate Christian Kirk, who is a 37.2% chance to score a touchdown during this game between the Jaguars and the Jets.
Here's our list of the 10 players most likely to give us a payout on anytime touchdown prop bets in Thursday Night Football.
To score an Anytime TD | Probability % |
Travis Etienne (Jaguars) | 45.4% probability |
Christian Kirk (Jaguars) | 37.2% probability |
Zonovan Knight (Jets) | 36.5% probability |
Michael Carter (Jets) | 23.0% probability |
Garrett Wilson (Jets) | 22.5% probability |
Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) | 21.3% probability |
Corey Davis (Jets) | 21.0% probability |
Evan Engram (Jaguars) | 20.2% probability |
Marvin Jones (Jaguars) | 17.7% probability |
Zach Wilson (Jets) | 16.9% probability |
For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.
PICTURED: Jaguars RB Travis Etienne
Jaguars at Jets Player Props
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is predicted to throw for 246 passing yards, while the Jets' Zach Wilson is expected to throw for 225 yards.
Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Jaguars-Jets, below.
Jaguars QB: Passing Yards Prop
- Trevor Lawrence: 246 yards
Jets QB: Passing Yards Prop
- Zach Wilson: 225 yards
Jaguars Player Props: Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 86 yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 14 yards
- JaMycal Hasty: 11 yards
Jets Player Props: Rushing Yards
- Zonovan Knight: 62 yards
- Michael Carter: 40 yards
- Zach Wilson: 20 yards 🔥
Jaguars Player Props: Receiving Yards
- Christian Kirk: 64 yards
- Zay Jones: 45 yards 🔥
- Evan Engram: 36 yards 🔥
- Marvin Jones: 29 yards 🔥
- Travis Etienne: 22 yards
Jets Player Props: Receiving Yards
- Garrett Wilson: 60 yards
- Corey Davis: 50 yards
- Tyler Conklin: 30 yards
- Elijah Moore: 25 yards
- Michael Carter: 23 yards
ANALYSIS: Jags vs. Jets Picks and Predictions for Thursday Night Football
Player Prop Bets: Jaguars vs. Jets
The value bets below are spots identified by our AI predictive analytics model following 10,000 simulations of this game, before we match those results against the lines set by the sportsbooks. When our numbers are quite different to those displayed by the sportsbooks then that means we've identified a prop betting opportunity - usually at tempting odds, too.
Sometimes the sportsbooks will set the line for a particular player prop too high, in which case we'd bet his Under. Other times they may have undervalued a player's expected contribution, and set his line quite low allowing us to take the juicy odds on offer for his Over.
It's important to note, the suggested player prop bets below are based on our algorithm finding an edge vs. the sportsbooks odds and lines, so using the sportsbook listed - where those factors are in our favor - is very important in order to maximize our potential to profit from player prop betting.
🔥 Prop Bet: Evan Engram Under 46.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Our player props predictive analytics model has Engram down for less than his line of 46.5 receiving yards (we have him going for 36) on Thursday night, so at odds of -110 we are betting his UNDER and getting an edge of 21.7% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x risk-free $200 bets to use on whatever they want, right here.
🔥 Prop Bet: Marvin Jones Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-119)
Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Thursday night matchup between the Jaguars and the Jets, our player prop model has identified that the receiving yards line of 17.5 for Marvin Jones is too low. We have the Jacksonville man down for 29 receiving yards (see above), so betting his OVER (-119) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us an edge of 13.3% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.
🔥 Prop Bet: Zay Jones Under 52.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The player props super computer has identified a receiving yards prop bet in another Jags man in Zay Jones. We have him down for just 45 receiving yards on Thursday night at a probability of 64.8% and with a 11.3% edge. By betting this OVER at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x risk-free $200 bets, here.
🔥 Touchdown Bet: Christian Kirk Score a Touchdown (+280)
The Dimers player prop AI machine has found some value here for Christian Kirk to score a TD on Thursday night. While the model has identified him as a 37.0% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the 10.8% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.