Jaguars vs. Dolphins Prediction: Miami Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 1 [2024]

The Miami Dolphins will square off with the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 1 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Dolphins as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Jaguars-Dolphins game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Dolphins with a win probability of 60%, while the Jaguars have 40%."

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 1 game between the Dolphins and Jaguars at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins
• Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Dolphins and Jaguars gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Jaguars vs. Dolphins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Dolphins vs. Jaguars picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Jaguars and Dolphins 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dolphins a 60% chance of defeating the Jaguars in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Dolphins winning 26-23.

According to our model, the Jaguars (+3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 50-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jaguars	Dolphins
Spread	+3.5 (-110)	-3.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+160	-170
Total	o50 (-108)	u50 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Jaguars vs. Dolphins matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Jaguars vs. Dolphins TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs. Dolphins?

According to our model, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs. Dolphins.

Our projections give Hill a 10.1% chance of getting in for six first at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins WR is a 45.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	First TD Probability
Travis Etienne	9.5%
Christian Kirk	7.1%
Gabe Davis	6.1%

Miami Dolphins

Player	First TD Probability
Tyreek Hill	10.1%
De'Von Achane	9.7%
Raheem Mostert	9.0%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Travis Etienne	43.4%
Christian Kirk	34.0%
Gabe Davis	30.4%

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Tyreek Hill	45.9%
De'Von Achane	43.7%
Raheem Mostert	41.1%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Jaguars vs Dolphins Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Dolphins. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Jaguars-Dolphins page now to access every player prop projection.

Jaguars vs. Dolphins Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa.

Jaguars Rushing

Travis Etienne, Trevor Lawrence and Tank Bigsby are projected to be the leading rushers for the Jaguars.

Player	Position
Travis Etienne	RB
Trevor Lawrence	QB
Tank Bigsby	RB

Dolphins Rushing

De'Von Achane, Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Wright are expected to lead the Dolphins in rushing yards.

Player	Position
De'Von Achane	RB
Raheem Mostert	RB
Jaylen Wright	RB

Jaguars Receiving

Christian Kirk, Brian Thomas, Gabe Davis, Evan Engram and Travis Etienne are projected to top the receiving yards for the Jaguars.

Player	Position
Christian Kirk	WR
Brian Thomas	WR
Gabe Davis	WR
Evan Engram	TE
Travis Etienne	RB

Dolphins Receiving

Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Jonnu Smith, Braxton Berrios and Durham Smythe are projected to lead the Dolphins in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Tyreek Hill	WR
Jaylen Waddle	WR
Jonnu Smith	TE
Braxton Berrios	WR
Durham Smythe	TE

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Jaguars vs. Dolphins predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits, plus one month of NFL RedZone access.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 1 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets, plus 3 weeks of NFL Sunday Ticket.

Conclusion

We predict the Dolphins, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Jaguars on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jaguars vs. Dolphins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.