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Jaguars vs. Lions Prediction: Detroit Predicted to Win in NFL Week 11 [2024]
The Detroit Lions will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 11 action at Ford Field on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Jaguars-Lions game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Lions with a win probability of 88%, while the Jaguars have 12%."
This updated Jaguars vs. Lions betting preview builds on our early Jaguars vs. Lions prediction released at the start of the week.
For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Jaguars vs. Lions predictions page.
Jaguars vs. Lions Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 matchup between the Lions and Jaguars at Ford Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions
- Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Ford Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Lions and Jaguars gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Jaguars vs. Lions matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Jacksonville vs. Detroit picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Jaguars vs. Lions Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Jaguars and Lions 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lions an 88% chance of beating the Jaguars in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 30-17.
According to our model, the Jaguars (+14) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Along with our Jaguars vs. Lions predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Jaguars vs. Lions Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jaguars | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14 (-105) | -14 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +650 | -900 |
| Total | o47.5 (-110) | u47.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jaguars vs. Lions Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Jaguars vs. Lions matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Jaguars vs. Lions TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs. Lions?
According to our model, Detroit's David Montgomery is most likely to score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs. Lions.
Our projections give Montgomery a 16.6% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Lions RB is a 64.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 8.3% |
| Brian Thomas | 6.1% |
| Evan Engram | 5.0% |
Detroit Lions
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 16.6% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 14.7% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 10.2% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 38.1% |
| Brian Thomas | 31.7% |
| Evan Engram | 25.9% |
Detroit Lions
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 64.1% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 57.1% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 44.2% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 11 touchdown scorer predictions
Jaguars vs Lions Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Lions. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Jaguars-Lions page now to access every player prop projection.
Jaguars vs. Lions Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Mac Jones is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Lions' Jared Goff.
Jaguars Rushing
Travis Etienne, D'Ernest Johnson and Mac Jones are projected to be the leading rushers for the Jaguars.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | RB |
| D'Ernest Johnson | RB |
| Mac Jones | QB |
Lions Rushing
Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery and Jared Goff are expected to lead the Lions in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
| David Montgomery | RB |
| Jared Goff | QB |
Jaguars Receiving
Brian Thomas, Evan Engram, Gabe Davis, Parker Washington and Travis Etienne are projected to top the receiving yards for the Jaguars.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Brian Thomas | WR |
| Evan Engram | TE |
| Gabe Davis | WR |
| Parker Washington | WR |
| Travis Etienne | RB |
Lions Receiving
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Brock Wright, Jahmyr Gibbs and Tim Patrick are projected to lead the Lions in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR |
| Jameson Williams | WR |
| Brock Wright | TE |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
| Tim Patrick | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat the Jaguars in Week 11 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jaguars vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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