Jaguars vs. Bills Prediction: Buffalo Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for MNF Week 3 [2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Jacksonville Jaguars-Buffalo Bills Predictions and Game Preview.
Highmark Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills this Monday.

The Buffalo Bills will square off with the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 3 action at Highmark Stadium on Monday, commencing at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Bills as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Jaguars-Bills game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Bills are likely to win, with a probability of 70%, compared to the Jaguars' 30%."

Jaguars vs. Bills Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 3 action between the Bills and Jaguars at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Jaguars vs. Bills matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Bills vs. Jaguars picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Jaguars vs. Bills Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NFL game between the Jaguars and Bills 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Bills a 70% chance of beating the Jaguars in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bills winning 25-20.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Jaguars and Bills each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

As well as the above Jaguars vs. Bills predictions, we also have the following locked and loaded for today's action:

Jaguars vs. Bills Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Jaguars Bills
Spread +5.5 (-110) -5.5 (-110)
Moneyline +210 -245
Total o45.5 (-110) u45.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jaguars vs. Bills Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Jaguars vs. Bills matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Jaguars vs. Bills TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Bills?

According to our model, Buffalo's Josh Allen is most likely to score the first TD in Jaguars vs. Bills.

Our projections give Allen an 11.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB is a 47.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player First TD Probability
Travis Etienne 8.9%
Gabe Davis 6.1%
Brian Thomas 6.0%

Buffalo Bills

Player First TD Probability
Josh Allen 11.6%
James Cook 9.4%
Keon Coleman 5.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player Anytime TD Probability
Travis Etienne 39.4%
Brian Thomas 28.4%
Gabe Davis 28.2%

Buffalo Bills

Player Anytime TD Probability
Josh Allen 47.5%
James Cook 40.2%
Keon Coleman 27.1%

Jaguars vs Bills Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Bills. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Jaguars-Bills page now to access every player prop projection.

Jaguars vs. Bills Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected to throw for more yards than the Bills' Josh Allen.

Jaguars Rushing

Travis Etienne, Trevor Lawrence and Tank Bigsby are projected to be the leading rushers for the Jaguars.

Player Position
Travis Etienne RB
Trevor Lawrence QB
Tank Bigsby RB

Bills Rushing

James Cook, Josh Allen and Ray Davis are expected to lead the Bills in rushing yards.

Player Position
James Cook RB
Josh Allen QB
Ray Davis RB

Jaguars Receiving

Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis, Brian Thomas, Brenton Strange and Travis Etienne are projected to top the receiving yards for the Jaguars.

Player Position
Christian Kirk WR
Gabe Davis WR
Brian Thomas WR
Brenton Strange TE
Travis Etienne RB

Bills Receiving

Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid, Mack Hollins and Curtis Samuel are projected to lead the Bills in receiving yards.

Player Position
Khalil Shakir WR
Keon Coleman WR
Dalton Kincaid TE
Mack Hollins WR
Curtis Samuel WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Bills, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Jaguars in Week 3 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jaguars vs. Bills insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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