Colts vs. Jets Prediction: Jets Predicted to Win in NFL Week 11 [2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Indianapolis Colts-New York Jets Predictions and Game Preview.
MetLife Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and New York Jets this Sunday.

The New York Jets and Indianapolis Colts will lock horns in Week 11 of the NFL season at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Jets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Colts-Jets game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Jets with a win probability of 65%, while the Colts have 35%."

This updated Colts vs. Jets betting preview builds on our early Colts vs. Jets prediction released at the start of the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Colts vs. Jets predictions page.

Colts vs. Jets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 action between the Jets and Colts at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Colts vs. Jets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Indianapolis vs. NY Jets picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Colts vs. Jets Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Colts and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Jets a 65% chance of defeating the Colts in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jets winning 23-19.

According to our model, the Colts (+4.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

In addition to our Colts vs. Jets predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:

Colts vs. Jets Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Colts Jets
Spread +4.5 (-115) -4.5 (-105)
Moneyline +180 -210
Total o43.5 (+100) u43.5 (-122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Colts vs. Jets Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Colts vs. Jets matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Colts vs. Jets TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Jets?

According to our model, New York's Breece Hall is most likely to score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Jets.

Our projections give Hall a 15.0% chance of getting in for six first at MetLife Stadium, while the Jets RB is a 56.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor 12.4%
Anthony Richardson 7.3%
Josh Downs 5.9%

New York Jets

Player First TD Probability
Breece Hall 15.0%
Garrett Wilson 9.5%
Braelon Allen 8.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor 48.5%
Anthony Richardson 32.0%
Josh Downs 26.4%

New York Jets

Player Anytime TD Probability
Breece Hall 56.2%
Garrett Wilson 39.6%
Braelon Allen 36.9%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 11 touchdown scorer predictions

Colts vs Jets Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Colts and Jets. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Colts-Jets page now to access every player prop projection.

Colts vs. Jets Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Anthony Richardson is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Jets' Aaron Rodgers.

Colts Rushing

Jonathan Taylor, Anthony Richardson and Trey Sermon are projected to be the leading rushers for the Colts.

Player Position
Jonathan Taylor RB
Anthony Richardson QB
Trey Sermon RB

Jets Rushing

Breece Hall, Braelon Allen and Aaron Rodgers are expected to lead the Jets in rushing yards.

Player Position
Breece Hall RB
Braelon Allen RB
Aaron Rodgers QB

Colts Receiving

Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and Jonathan Taylor are projected to top the receiving yards for the Colts.

Player Position
Michael Pittman WR
Josh Downs WR
Alec Pierce WR
Adonai Mitchell WR
Jonathan Taylor RB

Jets Receiving

Garrett Wilson, Davante Adams, Breece Hall, Tyler Conklin and Xavier Gipson are projected to lead the Jets in receiving yards.

Player Position
Garrett Wilson WR
Davante Adams WR
Breece Hall RB
Tyler Conklin TE
Xavier Gipson WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Colts on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Colts vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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