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Colts vs. Giants Prediction: Indianapolis Predicted to Win in NFL Week 17 [2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Indianapolis Colts vs New York Giants matchup.
The New York Giants will face the favored Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 17 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Colts as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Indianapolis-NY Giants game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Colts with a win probability of 78%, while the Giants have 22%."
This updated Colts vs. Giants betting preview builds on my early Colts vs. Giants prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Colts vs. Giants predictions page.
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LIMITED TIME: Get 50% Off Pro with Code HOLIDAYS Get Dimers Pro Colts vs. Giants Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 matchup between the Giants and Colts at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants
- Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Giants and Colts gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Colts vs. Giants matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Indianapolis vs. NY Giants picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Colts vs. Giants Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Colts and Giants 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Colts a 78% chance of defeating the Giants in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Colts winning 23-16.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Colts and Giants each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:45PM, Dec 29
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
In addition to our Colts vs. Giants predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Colts vs. Giants Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Colts | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-102) | +7.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -400 | +320 |
| Total | o40.5 (-108) | u40.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Colts vs. Giants Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Colts vs. Giants matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Colts-Giants Pick Get Dimers Pro Colts vs. Giants TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Colts vs. Giants?
According to our model, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is most likely to score the first TD in Colts vs. Giants.
Our projections give Taylor an 18.9% chance of scoring the first TD at MetLife Stadium, while the Colts RB is a 60.2% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 18.9% |
| Josh Downs | 8.3% |
| Alec Pierce | 7.8% |
New York Giants
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy | 10.0% |
| Malik Nabers | 8.0% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 4.4% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 60.2% |
| Josh Downs | 33.0% |
| Alec Pierce | 29.8% |
New York Giants
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy | 39.2% |
| Malik Nabers | 33.3% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 19.2% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 17 touchdown scorer predictions
Colts vs Giants Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Colts and Giants. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Colts-Giants page now to access every player prop projection.
Colts vs. Giants Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Joe Flacco is projected to throw for more yards than the Giants' Drew Lock.
Colts Rushing
Jonathan Taylor, Trey Sermon and Joe Flacco are projected to be the leading rushers for the Colts.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | RB |
| Trey Sermon | RB |
| Joe Flacco | QB |
Giants Rushing
Tyrone Tracy, Devin Singletary and Drew Lock are expected to lead the Giants in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy | RB |
| Devin Singletary | RB |
| Drew Lock | QB |
Colts Receiving
Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and Jonathan Taylor are projected to top the receiving yards for the Colts.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | WR |
| Josh Downs | WR |
| Alec Pierce | WR |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB |
Giants Receiving
Malik Nabers, Wan'Dale Robinson, Daniel Bellinger, Darius Slayton and Tyrone Tracy are projected to lead the Giants in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Malik Nabers | WR |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | WR |
| Daniel Bellinger | TE |
| Darius Slayton | WR |
| Tyrone Tracy | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Colts, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Colts vs. Giants insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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