Colts vs. Patriots Prediction: Indianapolis Predicted to Win in NFL Week 13 [2024]

The New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts will meet in Week 13 of the NFL season at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Colts as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Indianapolis-New England game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Colts with a win probability of 59%, while the Patriots have 41%."

This updated Colts vs. Patriots betting preview builds on my early Colts vs. Patriots prediction that I published at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Colts vs. Patriots predictions page.

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Colts vs. Patriots Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 13 action between the Patriots and Colts at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, December 1, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Patriots and Colts gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Colts vs. Patriots matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Indianapolis vs. New England picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Colts vs. Patriots Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Colts and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Colts a 59% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Colts winning 21-19.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Colts and Patriots each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Along with our Colts vs. Patriots predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 13
• NFL Player Props for Week 13
• Touchdown Predictions for Week 13

Colts vs. Patriots Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Colts	Patriots
Spread	-2.5 (-105)	+2.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-130	+120
Total	o41 (-108)	u41 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Colts vs. Patriots Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Colts vs. Patriots matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Colts vs. Patriots TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Colts vs. Patriots?

According to our model, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is most likely to score the first TD in Colts vs. Patriots.

Our projections give Taylor a 13.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Colts RB is a 52.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player	First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	13.8%
Anthony Richardson	11.2%
Alec Pierce	7.3%

New England Patriots

Player	First TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson	9.1%
Hunter Henry	6.3%
Kayshon Boutte	5.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	52.0%
Anthony Richardson	43.8%
Michael Pittman	30.6%

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson	38.6%
Kayshon Boutte	26.0%
Hunter Henry	25.8%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 13 touchdown scorer predictions

Colts vs Patriots Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Colts and Patriots. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Colts-Patriots page now to access every player prop projection.

Colts vs. Patriots Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Anthony Richardson is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Patriots' Drake Maye.

Colts Rushing

Jonathan Taylor, Anthony Richardson and Trey Sermon are projected to be the leading rushers for the Colts.

Player	Position
Jonathan Taylor	RB
Anthony Richardson	QB
Trey Sermon	RB

Patriots Rushing

Rhamondre Stevenson, Drake Maye and Antonio Gibson are expected to lead the Patriots in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Rhamondre Stevenson	RB
Drake Maye	QB
Antonio Gibson	RB

Colts Receiving

Michael Pittman, Adonai Mitchell, Alec Pierce, Jonathan Taylor and Kylen Granson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Colts.

Player	Position
Michael Pittman	WR
Adonai Mitchell	WR
Alec Pierce	WR
Jonathan Taylor	RB
Kylen Granson	TE

Patriots Receiving

DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry, Kayshon Boutte, Kendrick Bourne and Austin Hooper are projected to lead the Patriots in receiving yards.

Player	Position
DeMario Douglas	WR
Hunter Henry	TE
Kayshon Boutte	WR
Kendrick Bourne	WR
Austin Hooper	TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Colts, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 13 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Colts vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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