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Colts vs. Jaguars Prediction: Jacksonville Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 5 [2024]
The Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts will lock horns in Week 5 of the NFL season at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Jaguars as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Colts-Jaguars game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Jaguars with a win probability of 63%, while the Colts have 37%."
Colts vs. Jaguars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 action between the Jaguars and Colts at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Jaguars and Colts gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+
Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Colts vs. Jaguars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Jaguars vs. Colts picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Colts vs. Jaguars Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Colts and Jaguars 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Jaguars a 63% chance of defeating the Colts in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 24-20.
According to our model, the Colts (+4) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Along with our Colts vs. Jaguars predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:
Colts vs. Jaguars Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Colts | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4 (-112) | -4 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +166 | -190 |
| Total | o44.5 (-110) | u44.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Colts vs. Jaguars Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Colts vs. Jaguars matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Colts vs. Jaguars TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Jaguars?
According to our model, Indianapolis' Trey Sermon is most likely to score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Jaguars.
Our projections give Sermon a 10.6% chance of scoring the first TD at EverBank Stadium, while the Colts RB is a 44.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Trey Sermon | 10.6% |
| Michael Pittman | 9.1% |
| Josh Downs | 7.1% |
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 10.2% |
| Brian Thomas | 8.4% |
| Christian Kirk | 8.3% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Trey Sermon | 44.7% |
| Michael Pittman | 39.4% |
| Josh Downs | 31.9% |
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 43.0% |
| Brian Thomas | 37.4% |
| Christian Kirk | 36.9% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 5 touchdown scorer predictions
Colts vs Jaguars Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Colts and Jaguars. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Colts-Jaguars page now to access every player prop projection.
Colts vs. Jaguars Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Joe Flacco is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence.
Colts Rushing
Trey Sermon, Tyler Goodson and Joe Flacco are projected to be the leading rushers for the Colts.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Trey Sermon | RB |
| Tyler Goodson | RB |
| Joe Flacco | QB |
Jaguars Rushing
Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby and Trevor Lawrence are expected to lead the Jaguars in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | RB |
| Tank Bigsby | RB |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB |
Colts Receiving
Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and Kylen Granson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Colts.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | WR |
| Josh Downs | WR |
| Alec Pierce | WR |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR |
| Kylen Granson | TE |
Jaguars Receiving
Christian Kirk, Brian Thomas, Gabe Davis, Brenton Strange and Travis Etienne are projected to lead the Jaguars in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Christian Kirk | WR |
| Brian Thomas | WR |
| Gabe Davis | WR |
| Brenton Strange | TE |
| Travis Etienne | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Jaguars, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Colts on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Colts vs. Jaguars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.
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