Colts vs. Jaguars Prediction: Jacksonville Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 5 [2024]

The Jacksonville Jaguars will take on the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 5 action at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Jaguars as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Colts-Jaguars game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Jaguars with a win probability of 58%, while the Colts have 42%."

Colts vs. Jaguars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 matchup between the Jaguars and Colts at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
• Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: EverBank Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Jaguars and Colts gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Colts vs. Jaguars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jaguars vs. Colts picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Colts vs. Jaguars Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Colts and Jaguars 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Jaguars a 58% chance of beating the Colts in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 23-21.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Colts and Jaguars each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

In addition to our Colts vs. Jaguars predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for this week's action:

• The Best NFL Week 5 Odds
• NFL Picks Straight Up for Week 5
• Picks Against The Spread for NFL Week 5

Colts vs. Jaguars Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Colts	Jaguars
Spread	+2.5 (+100)	-2.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+128	-148
Total	o46 (-112)	u46 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Colts vs. Jaguars Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Colts vs. Jaguars matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Colts vs. Jaguars TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Jaguars?

According to our model, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is most likely to score the first TD in Colts vs. Jaguars.

Our projections give Taylor a 10.5% chance of scoring the first TD at EverBank Stadium, while the Colts RB is a 44.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player	First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	10.5%
Anthony Richardson	9.5%
Michael Pittman	6.4%

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	First TD Probability
Travis Etienne	10.4%
Brian Thomas	7.7%
Christian Kirk	7.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	44.6%
Anthony Richardson	40.8%
Michael Pittman	29.6%

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Travis Etienne	43.9%
Brian Thomas	34.2%
Christian Kirk	33.2%

Colts vs Jaguars Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Colts and Jaguars. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Colts-Jaguars page now to access every player prop projection.

Colts vs. Jaguars Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Anthony Richardson is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence.

Colts Rushing

Jonathan Taylor, Anthony Richardson and Trey Sermon are projected to be the leading rushers for the Colts.

Player	Position
Jonathan Taylor	RB
Anthony Richardson	QB
Trey Sermon	RB

Jaguars Rushing

Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby and Trevor Lawrence are expected to lead the Jaguars in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Travis Etienne	RB
Tank Bigsby	RB
Trevor Lawrence	QB

Colts Receiving

Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and Jonathan Taylor are projected to top the receiving yards for the Colts.

Player	Position
Michael Pittman	WR
Josh Downs	WR
Alec Pierce	WR
Adonai Mitchell	WR
Jonathan Taylor	RB

Jaguars Receiving

Brian Thomas, Gabe Davis, Christian Kirk, Evan Engram and Travis Etienne are projected to lead the Jaguars in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Brian Thomas	WR
Gabe Davis	WR
Christian Kirk	WR
Evan Engram	TE
Travis Etienne	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Jaguars, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Colts in Week 5 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Colts vs. Jaguars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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