Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: Caitlin Clark Predicted to Score 24 Points Based on Updated Analysis for WNBA Game [6/30/2024]

Last updated: Jun 30, 2024, 6:58PM | Published: Jun 28, 2024, 8:49AM

The Phoenix Mercury and Indiana Fever will lock horns in the WNBA at Footprint Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 3:00PM ET.

The Mercury, who have stars such as Kahleah Copper, Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner, are set to take on the Fever, whose lineup includes Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston.

Clark, the sweet-shooting rookie guard for the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with 24 projected points.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Fever-Mercury game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Mercury with a win probability of 70%, while the Fever have 30%."

Fever vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's matchup between the Mercury and Fever at Footprint Center is scheduled to begin at 3:00PM ET.

Who: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury
Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024
Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
Venue: Footprint Center

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Fever vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Fever picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Fever vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA picks coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 70% chance of beating the Fever.

According to our model, the Fever (+8) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 175.5-point over/under has a 61% chance of staying under.

Fever vs. Mercury Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Mercury
Spread	+8 (-108)	-8 (-110)
Moneyline	+295	-355
Total	o175.5 (-115)	u175.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fever vs. Mercury Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Fever vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Fever vs. Mercury Player Props

Betting on Indiana vs. Phoenix WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made.

Caitlin Clark is expected to lead the Fever with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists, while Kahleah Copper is projected to have 23 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mercury.

Fever Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Caitlin Clark	24	6	7	5
Kelsey Mitchell	18	2	3	3
Aliyah Boston	14	9	3	0
NaLyssa Smith	13	8	1	1
Kristy Wallace	7	2	2	1

Mercury Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mercury:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Kahleah Copper	23	4	2	2
Diana Taurasi	20	4	4	3
Brittney Griner	19	7	3	0
Natasha Cloud	14	4	7	1
Sophie Cunningham	9	3	2	2

For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA trends for today's games.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Fever on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fever vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on WNBA

Stay updated with the most recent WNBA news and our data-driven WNBA parlay picks all season long.

Mac Douglass

Senior Sports Betting Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and a broad knowledge of sports to his role at Dimers. Specializing in previews for the NFL, particularly the NFC South and NFC East, Mac leverages his keen insights to provide detailed game analyses. He also offers best bets and props for MLB and race previews for Formula 1, a sport he has followed passionately alongside professional tennis and the NBA.

Known for his knack for discovering the best new user promos across major sportsbooks, Mac is dedicated to sharing these finds with the community, enhancing both the novice and veteran bettor's experience. Having lived in New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Melbourne, Australia, Mac's diverse experiences enrich his understanding of both American and international sports landscapes.