New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Our Betting Guide for Thursday Night Football

BET 1: $5 on Steelers -6 to Collect Up To $155  (via Bet365)

For Week 14's opener, we're looking at the spread to kick things off, as one of one of our best bets of the night.

Our DimersBOT NFL prediction model identifies a strong 57% probability of Pittsburgh covering the six points tonight. Now, the Steelers are one of the poorer over .500 teams in the league. They score an average of just 16 points per game, 28th in the league and virtually all of their offensive metrics are bottom 10 or worse. However, they play the Patriots, who are probably *the* worst team in the league. Over their last three games, they've given up just 26 points yet scored only 13. They were shut out last week against the Chargers, who scored SIX points and still covered the spread. 

So, why make this bet on bet365? Because new users can claim $150 in Bonus Bets when they sign up and place a $5 bet on anything.

That's right, anything. 

The best part too is that you don't even need to win to receive the $150 in site credits, so even if New England covers the spread, you can walk away with your $150 bonus.

Bet365 may only be available in limited states at the moment (although, keep an eye out because the world-renowned sportsbook have plans to expand outside of their current OH, CO, IA, KY, VA and NJ bases soon), but they’re offering some of the strongest signup offers and boosts on game lines and prop bets out there right now.

You can sign up to bet365 and claim this amazing offer below.

BET 2: Bet $5 on Diontae Johnson to Score First TD to Collect Up To $205 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

For this play, we're going to highlight a touchdown prop, specifically in the First TD scorer market.

Diontae Johnson was Mitch Trubisky's first read after he came in for the injured Kenny Pickett on Sunday. He scored last week and despite the Patriots' solid defense, they have little-to-no pass rush and even a backup like Trubisky can succeed if given enough time in the pocket.

The Patriots are virtually incapable of moving the football so it makes sense to target a Steeler, and their rushing defense is strong so we should pick a receiver. DimersBOT gives Johnson an 8% probability to strike first, right in line with his +1100 odds.

At +1100 odds, you're not exactly getting the extra value we look for, but it's a strong play backed by data and this is a prime way to cash in on DraftKings' new customer promo if you haven't already. 

DK has a top-tier new customer offer, turning a $5 bet into $150 in Bonus Bets when you sign up. You can bet that $5 on anything and score win or lose, while on FanDuel for example, your first bet must be on a moneyline and it has to win to secure your bonus.

Regardless of whether Johnson strikes first tonight or not, DraftKings Sportsbook will credit your account with the $150 in bonuses as long as this is your first $5 bet.

You can sign up to DraftKings Sportsbook below.

MORE: Best Sports Bets Today

BET 3: Bet $100 on Steelers Moneyline for a Chance to Win a Las Vegas Trip (via BetMGM)