Texans vs. Patriots Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win in NFL Week 6 [2024]

The New England Patriots will take on the favored Houston Texans in NFL Week 6 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Texans-Patriots game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 75%, while the Patriots have 25%."

Texans vs. Patriots Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 6 game between the Patriots and Texans at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Patriots and Texans gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Texans vs. Patriots matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Patriots vs. Texans picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Texans vs. Patriots Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Texans and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Texans a 75% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 22-16.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Texans and Patriots each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 38.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

In addition to our Texans vs. Patriots predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 6
• NFL Player Props for Week 6
• Touchdown Predictions for Week 6

Texans vs. Patriots Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Texans	Patriots
Spread	-6.5 (-110)	+6.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-290	+240
Total	o38.5 (-110)	u38.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texans vs. Patriots Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Texans vs. Patriots matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Patriots TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Patriots?

According to our model, Houston's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first TD in Texans vs. Patriots.

Our projections give Diggs an 11.5% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Texans WR is a 40.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Stefon Diggs	11.5%
Joe Mixon	10.9%
Tank Dell	9.3%

New England Patriots

Player	First TD Probability
Antonio Gibson	8.5%
JaMycal Hasty	4.7%
Drake Maye	4.3%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Stefon Diggs	40.8%
Joe Mixon	38.4%
Tank Dell	34.1%

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Antonio Gibson	32.5%
JaMycal Hasty	18.2%
Ja'Lynn Polk	17.5%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 6 touchdown scorer predictions

Texans vs Patriots Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Patriots. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Patriots page now to access every player prop projection.

Texans vs. Patriots Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for more yards than the Patriots' Drake Maye.

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, Dameon Pierce and C.J. Stroud are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.

Player	Position
Joe Mixon	RB
Dameon Pierce	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB

Patriots Rushing

Antonio Gibson, JaMycal Hasty and Drake Maye are expected to lead the Patriots in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Antonio Gibson	RB
JaMycal Hasty	RB
Drake Maye	QB

Texans Receiving

Stefon Diggs, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon and Xavier Hutchinson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.

Player	Position
Stefon Diggs	WR
Tank Dell	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Joe Mixon	RB
Xavier Hutchinson	WR

Patriots Receiving

Ja'Lynn Polk, Kendrick Bourne, DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry and Antonio Gibson are projected to lead the Patriots in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Ja'Lynn Polk	WR
Kendrick Bourne	WR
DeMario Douglas	WR
Hunter Henry	TE
Antonio Gibson	RB

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Texans vs. Patriots predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 6 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.

BetMGM's New NFL Promo

Another great way to maximize betting on today's action is with the latestBetMGM promo, that gives you huge bonuses from a small bet of your choice. New BetMGM users can bet $10 and secure $250 in total bonuses across sports betting and casino.

Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.