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Texans vs. Patriots Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win in NFL Week 6 [2024]
The New England Patriots will take on the favored Houston Texans in NFL Week 6 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Texans-Patriots game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 75%, while the Patriots have 25%."
Texans vs. Patriots Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 6 game between the Patriots and Texans at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Patriots and Texans gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Texans vs. Patriots matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Patriots vs. Texans picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Texans vs. Patriots Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Texans and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Texans a 75% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 22-16.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Texans and Patriots each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 38.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
In addition to our Texans vs. Patriots predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Texans vs. Patriots Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Texans | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -290 | +240 |
| Total | o38.5 (-110) | u38.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Texans vs. Patriots Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Texans vs. Patriots matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Texans vs. Patriots TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Patriots?
According to our model, Houston's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first TD in Texans vs. Patriots.
Our projections give Diggs an 11.5% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Texans WR is a 40.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Houston Texans
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 11.5% |
| Joe Mixon | 10.9% |
| Tank Dell | 9.3% |
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Antonio Gibson | 8.5% |
| JaMycal Hasty | 4.7% |
| Drake Maye | 4.3% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Houston Texans
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 40.8% |
| Joe Mixon | 38.4% |
| Tank Dell | 34.1% |
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Antonio Gibson | 32.5% |
| JaMycal Hasty | 18.2% |
| Ja'Lynn Polk | 17.5% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 6 touchdown scorer predictions
Texans vs Patriots Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Patriots. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Patriots page now to access every player prop projection.
Texans vs. Patriots Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for more yards than the Patriots' Drake Maye.
Texans Rushing
Joe Mixon, Dameon Pierce and C.J. Stroud are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | RB |
| Dameon Pierce | RB |
| C.J. Stroud | QB |
Patriots Rushing
Antonio Gibson, JaMycal Hasty and Drake Maye are expected to lead the Patriots in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Antonio Gibson | RB |
| JaMycal Hasty | RB |
| Drake Maye | QB |
Texans Receiving
Stefon Diggs, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon and Xavier Hutchinson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | WR |
| Tank Dell | WR |
| Dalton Schultz | TE |
| Joe Mixon | RB |
| Xavier Hutchinson | WR |
Patriots Receiving
Ja'Lynn Polk, Kendrick Bourne, DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry and Antonio Gibson are projected to lead the Patriots in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Ja'Lynn Polk | WR |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR |
| DeMario Douglas | WR |
| Hunter Henry | TE |
| Antonio Gibson | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Texans, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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