Texans vs. Chiefs Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win in NFL Week 16 [2024]

NFL Week 16 action continues on Saturday at 1:00PM ET as the Houston Texans take on the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Houston-Kansas City game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Chiefs are more likely to win, while the Texans have a lower chance of victory."

This updated Texans vs. Chiefs betting preview builds on my early Texans vs. Chiefs prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Texans vs. Chiefs predictions page.

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Texans vs. Chiefs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 16 matchup between the Chiefs and Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Chiefs and Texans gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Texans vs. Chiefs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Houston vs. Kansas City picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NFL game between the Texans and Chiefs 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 63% chance of beating the Texans in Week 16 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 23-20.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Texans and Chiefs each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Along with our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions, we've also prepared the following for this week's action:

• NFL Odds Week 16
• NFL Week 16 Picks Straight Up
• NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 16

Texans vs. Chiefs Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texans vs. Chiefs Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Texans vs. Chiefs matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Texans vs. Chiefs TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs. Chiefs?

According to our model, Houston's Joe Mixon is most likely to score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Mixon a 14.1% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 53.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Kansas City Chiefs

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Kansas City Chiefs

Texans vs Chiefs Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Chiefs. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Chiefs page now to access every player prop projection.

Texans vs. Chiefs Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes.

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, C.J. Stroud and Dameon Pierce are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.

Chiefs Rushing

Isiah Pacheco, Kareem Hunt and Patrick Mahomes are expected to lead the Chiefs in rushing yards.

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon and Robert Woods are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.

Chiefs Receiving

Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins, Xavier Worthy, Noah Gray and Hollywood Brown are projected to lead the Chiefs in receiving yards.

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Texans in Week 16 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Chiefs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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