Experts Release New Texans vs. Chiefs Prediction After Key Injury Updates [Divisional Round 2025]

The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans are scheduled to meet in the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, January 18, 2025, starting at 4:30PM ET.

Early Tuesday morning, the NFL released an updated Divisional Round injury report that featured key players from both teams.

In light of this update, our experts conducted 10,000 simulations that took into account both Kansas City and Houston's updated rosters. The simulation results were compared to current odds to create the Chiefs-Texans preview below.

For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Texans vs. Chiefs predictions page.

Texans vs. Chiefs Divisional Round Details

Saturday's matchup between the Chiefs and Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for January 18, 2025.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 4:30PM ET/1:30PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Get 20% off Dimers Pro with code 20FOOTBALL

Get Dimers Pro

Texans vs. Chiefs Latest Odds

We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Divisional Round game, detailed below:

• Spread: Texans +8 (-110), Chiefs -8 (-110)
• Moneyline: Texans +375, Chiefs -410
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-112/-108)

Houston vs. Kansas City Early Predictions

Leveraging powerful machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Texans vs. Chiefs game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Texans 25%, Chiefs 75%
• Predicted Final Score: Texans 17-24 Chiefs
• Spread: Texans (+8) 60%, Chiefs (-8) 40%
• Total Points (41.5): Over 52%, Under 48%

As of January 14, 2025, these Texans-Chiefs predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Here are our preliminary touchdown probabilities for the Texans-Chiefs game:

Houston Texans

• Nico Collins: 37.2% probability
• Joe Mixon: 37.1% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 29.0% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Isiah Pacheco: 35.1% probability
• Kareem Hunt: 32.9% probability
• Travis Kelce: 32.3% probability

Texans vs Chiefs Player Props

Joe Mixon is projected to lead rushing for the Texans, while Isiah Pacheco is expected to pace the Chiefs on the ground.

In the receiving game, our projections favor Houston's Nico Collins and Kansas City's Travis Kelce as the likely leaders for each team.

Full Access to NFL Divisional Round Props

Get Dimers Pro

Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Texans on Saturday. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Texans vs. Chiefs matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL news and data-led parlay picks all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds for top predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.