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Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win in NFL Week 13 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars matchup.
The Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans will meet in Week 13 of the NFL season at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Houston-Jacksonville game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 64%, while the Jaguars have 36%."
This updated Texans vs. Jaguars betting preview builds on my early Texans vs. Jaguars prediction that I published at the start of the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Texans vs. Jaguars predictions page.
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Texans vs. Jaguars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 13 action between the Jaguars and Texans at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Sunday, December 1, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Jaguars and Texans gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Texans vs. Jaguars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Houston vs. Jacksonville picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Texans vs. Jaguars Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Texans and Jaguars 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Texans a 64% chance of beating the Jaguars in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 23-20.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Texans and Jaguars each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
In addition to our Texans vs. Jaguars predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:
Texans vs. Jaguars Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Texans | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-102) | +3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -172 | +155 |
| Total | o45.5 (-105) | u45.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Texans vs. Jaguars Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Texans vs. Jaguars matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Texans vs. Jaguars TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Jaguars?
According to our model, Houston's Joe Mixon is most likely to score the first TD in Texans vs. Jaguars.
Our projections give Mixon a 15.6% chance of getting in for six first at EverBank Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 59.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Houston Texans
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 15.6% |
| Nico Collins | 10.6% |
| Tank Dell | 8.8% |
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Tank Bigsby | 10.1% |
| Brian Thomas | 8.3% |
| Travis Etienne | 6.3% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Houston Texans
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 59.2% |
| Nico Collins | 44.3% |
| Tank Dell | 36.5% |
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Tank Bigsby | 42.0% |
| Brian Thomas | 36.7% |
| Travis Etienne | 27.9% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 13 touchdown scorer predictions
Texans vs Jaguars Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Jaguars. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Jaguars page now to access every player prop projection.
Texans vs. Jaguars Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for more yards than the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence.
Texans Rushing
Joe Mixon, C.J. Stroud and Dameon Pierce are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | RB |
| C.J. Stroud | QB |
| Dameon Pierce | RB |
Jaguars Rushing
Tank Bigsby, Travis Etienne and Trevor Lawrence are expected to lead the Jaguars in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Tank Bigsby | RB |
| Travis Etienne | RB |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB |
Texans Receiving
Nico Collins, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon and Robert Woods are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins | WR |
| Tank Dell | WR |
| Dalton Schultz | TE |
| Joe Mixon | RB |
| Robert Woods | WR |
Jaguars Receiving
Brian Thomas, Evan Engram, Parker Washington, Travis Etienne and D'Ernest Johnson are projected to lead the Jaguars in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Brian Thomas | WR |
| Evan Engram | TE |
| Parker Washington | WR |
| Travis Etienne | RB |
| D'Ernest Johnson | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Texans, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Jaguars in Week 13 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Jaguars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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