Texans vs. Colts Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 1 [2024]

The Indianapolis Colts will face the Houston Texans in NFL Week 1 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Texans-Colts game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 60%, while the Colts have 40%."

Texans vs. Colts Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 1 matchup between the Colts and Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
• Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Colts and Texans gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Texans vs. Colts matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Colts vs. Texans picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Colts Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Texans and Colts 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Texans a 60% chance of defeating the Colts in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 25-22.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Texans and Colts each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Texans vs. Colts Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Texans	Colts
Spread	-3 (-105)	+3 (-110)
Moneyline	-155	+136
Total	o47.5 (-110)	u47.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texans vs. Colts Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Texans vs. Colts matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Colts TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs. Colts?

According to our model, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is most likely to score the first TD in Texans vs. Colts.

Our projections give Taylor a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB is a 53.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Joe Mixon	9.0%
Stefon Diggs	8.6%
Nico Collins	8.0%

Indianapolis Colts

Player	First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	12.7%
Anthony Richardson	12.2%
Michael Pittman	5.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Joe Mixon	40.5%
Stefon Diggs	39.4%
Nico Collins	38.9%

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	53.2%
Anthony Richardson	50.8%
Michael Pittman	29.0%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Texans vs Colts Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Colts. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Colts page now to access every player prop projection.

Texans vs. Colts Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for more yards than the Colts' Anthony Richardson.

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, Dameon Pierce and C.J. Stroud are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.

Player	Position
Joe Mixon	RB
Dameon Pierce	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB

Colts Rushing

Jonathan Taylor, Anthony Richardson and Trey Sermon are expected to lead the Colts in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Jonathan Taylor	RB
Anthony Richardson	QB
Trey Sermon	RB

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Tank Dell, Stefon Diggs, Dalton Schultz and Joe Mixon are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.

Player	Position
Nico Collins	WR
Tank Dell	WR
Stefon Diggs	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Joe Mixon	RB

Colts Receiving

Michael Pittman, Adonai Mitchell, Kylen Granson, Alec Pierce and Jonathan Taylor are projected to lead the Colts in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Michael Pittman	WR
Adonai Mitchell	WR
Kylen Granson	TE
Alec Pierce	WR
Jonathan Taylor	RB

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Texans vs. Colts predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits, plus one month of NFL RedZone access.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 1 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets, plus 3 weeks of NFL Sunday Ticket.

Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Colts in Week 1 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Colts insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.