Texans vs. Cowboys Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win MNF Week 11 [2024]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Houston Texans-Dallas Cowboys Predictions and Game Preview.
AT&T Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys this Monday.

The Dallas Cowboys will face the favored Houston Texans in NFL Week 11 action at AT&T Stadium on Monday, commencing at 8:15PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Texans-Cowboys game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Texans are likely to win, with a probability of 75%, compared to the Cowboys' 25%."

This updated Texans vs. Cowboys betting preview builds on our early Texans vs. Cowboys prediction released at the start of the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Texans vs. Cowboys predictions page.

Texans vs. Cowboys Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 matchup between the Cowboys and Texans at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Texans vs. Cowboys matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Houston vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Texans vs. Cowboys Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NFL matchup between the Texans and Cowboys 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Texans a 75% chance of beating the Cowboys in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 24-17.

According to our model, the Cowboys (+7) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Texans vs. Cowboys Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Texans Cowboys
Spread -7 (-115) +7 (+100)
Moneyline -350 +300
Total o41.5 (-105) u41.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texans vs. Cowboys Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Texans vs. Cowboys matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Cowboys TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs. Cowboys?

According to our model, Houston's Joe Mixon is most likely to score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Cowboys.

Our projections give Mixon an 18.4% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 60.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Player First TD Probability
Joe Mixon 18.4%
Nico Collins 12.7%
Tank Dell 9.5%

Dallas Cowboys

Player First TD Probability
Rico Dowdle 9.4%
CeeDee Lamb 7.4%
Jake Ferguson 5.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Houston Texans

Player Anytime TD Probability
Joe Mixon 60.9%
Nico Collins 46.0%
Tank Dell 37.1%

Dallas Cowboys

Player Anytime TD Probability
Rico Dowdle 38.7%
CeeDee Lamb 31.0%
Jake Ferguson 25.0%

Texans vs Cowboys Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Cowboys. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Cowboys page now to access every player prop projection.

Texans vs. Cowboys Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for more yards than the Cowboys' Cooper Rush.

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, C.J. Stroud and Dameon Pierce are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.

Player Position
Joe Mixon RB
C.J. Stroud QB
Dameon Pierce RB

Cowboys Rushing

Rico Dowdle, Ezekiel Elliott and CeeDee Lamb are expected to lead the Cowboys in rushing yards.

Player Position
Rico Dowdle RB
Ezekiel Elliott RB
CeeDee Lamb WR

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Tank Dell, Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon and John Metchie are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.

Player Position
Nico Collins WR
Tank Dell WR
Dalton Schultz TE
Joe Mixon RB
John Metchie WR

Cowboys Receiving

CeeDee Lamb, Jake Ferguson, Jalen Tolbert, Rico Dowdle and Jalen Brooks are projected to lead the Cowboys in receiving yards.

Player Position
CeeDee Lamb WR
Jake Ferguson TE
Jalen Tolbert WR
Rico Dowdle RB
Jalen Brooks WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 11 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Cowboys insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and broad sports knowledge to Dimers, specializing in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, plus insights across DFS, online casinos and sweepstakes. Known for finding top new user promos across major sportsbooks and online gaming platforms, Mac enhances the betting experience for both novices and veterans alike.

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