Rockets vs. Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Monday's NBA Matchup [3/3/2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets will meet in NBA action at Paycom Center on Monday, starting at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Houston-Oklahoma City game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Thunder are likely to win, with a probability of 85%, compared to the Rockets' 15%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Rockets will look to Jalen Green, Cam Whitmore and Jabari Smith.

For expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Rockets vs. Thunder predictions page.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Rockets and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Thunder an 85% chance of beating the Rockets. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 121-108.

According to our model, the Rockets (+14.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 1:08AM, Mar 4

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

Rockets

Rockets +14.5

57%

43%

-110

-108

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Thunder

Rockets HOU

-110

Rockets +14.5

57%

43%

See Matchup

Thunder OKC

-108

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Rockets vs. Thunder Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Rockets vs. Thunder Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Rockets vs. Thunder matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Rockets vs. Thunder Player Props

NBA player props are a great way to wager on Monday's Rockets vs. Thunder matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Jalen Green is expected to lead the Rockets in scoring, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the top scorer for the Thunder.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game

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Rockets vs. Thunder Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's action between the Thunder and Rockets at Paycom Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Rockets vs. Thunder matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Houston vs. Oklahoma City picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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