Rockets vs. Heat Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Friday's NBA Matchup [3/21/2025]

The Miami Heat and Houston Rockets are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Friday, starting at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Rockets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Houston-Miami game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Rockets' chance of winning is 63%, while the Heat's is 37%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo, while the Rockets will look to Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Rockets vs. Heat predictions page.

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Rockets vs. Rockets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Rockets and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Rockets a 63% chance of beating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 108-104.

According to our model, the Heat (+4.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 212.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 12:07AM, Mar 22

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

Rockets

Heat +5.0

47%

53%

-107

-110

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Heat

Rockets HOU

-107

Heat +5.0

47%

53%

See Matchup

Heat MIA

-110

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Rockets vs. Heat Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Rockets vs. Heat Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Rockets vs. Heat matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Rockets vs. Heat Player Props

Betting on Houston vs. Miami NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.

Jalen Green is expected to lead the Rockets in scoring, while Tyler Herro is projected to be the top scorer for the Heat.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Rockets vs. Heat Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's action between the Heat and Rockets at Kaseya Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat
• Date: Friday, March 21, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Kaseya Center

Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Rockets vs. Heat matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Houston vs. Miami picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Rockets, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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