Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction: Golden State to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for 31 Points in Game 4 [2025]

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets will lock horns in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Chase Center on Monday, with tipoff at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of Game 4.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Houston-Golden State game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Warriors are likely to win, with a probability of 64%, compared to the Rockets' 36%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski, while the Rockets will look to Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Fred VanVleet.

For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Rockets vs. Warriors predictions page.

Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Who Will Win Game 4?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA Playoffs game between the Rockets and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 64% chance of defeating the Rockets in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 104-100.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Rockets and Warriors each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 203.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game 4 Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Rockets	Warriors
Spread	+3.5 (-105)	-3.5 (-114)
Moneyline	+142	-166
Total	o203.5 (-110)	u203.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Rockets vs. Warriors Picks and Best Bets for Game 4

Our model's biggest edge in today's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game 4 Player Props

Looking for Houston vs. Golden State NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Jalen Green is expected to lead the Rockets with 20 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Warriors.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game 4 Updates and Essential Details

Monday's Game 4 between the Warriors and Rockets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
• Date: Monday, April 28, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.

Sixteen teams, including the Rockets and Warriors, made the NBA Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Houston vs. Golden State picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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