Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction: Golden State to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for 30 Points in Game 3 [2025]

The Golden State Warriors will square off with the Houston Rockets in Game 3of their 2025 NBA Playoffs series at Chase Center on Saturday, beginning at 8:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of Game 3.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Houston-Golden State game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Warriors are more likely to win, while the Rockets have a lower chance of victory."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski, while the Rockets will be led by Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Fred VanVleet.

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Rockets vs. Warriors predictions page.

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Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Who Will Win Game 3?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Rockets and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Warriors a 61% chance of beating the Rockets in Game 3 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 104-101.

According to our model, the Warriors (-2) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 205.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game 3 Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Rockets vs. Warriors Picks and Best Bets for Game 3

Our model's biggest edge in today's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game 3 Player Props

NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Saturday's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Jalen Green is expected to lead the Rockets with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 30 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Warriors.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game

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Rockets vs. Warriors Game 3 Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's Game 3 between the Warriors and Rockets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 8:30PM ET.

• Who: Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to determine the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Rockets and Warriors, reached the 2025 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Rockets vs. Warriors matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Houston vs. Golden State picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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