Houston Astros vs. New York Mets: Mets Predicted to Win Following Latest Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [6/30/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets: Mets Predicted to Win Following Latest Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [6/30/2024]

MLB action continues on Sunday at 1:40PM ET as the Houston Astros take on the New York Mets at Citi Field.

Luis Severino (5-2, 3.29 ERA) will start for the Mets, up against Shawn Dubin (1-1, 5.64 ERA) for the Astros.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Astros-Mets game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Mets with a win probability of 53%, while the Astros have 47%."

Astros vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Mets and Astros at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 1:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Astros vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Astros picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Astros vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 53% chance of defeating the Astros.

According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Astros vs. Mets Odds [6/30/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Astros Mets
Run Line +1.5 (-185) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +110 -125
Total o9 (-102) u9 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Astros vs. Mets Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Astros vs. Mets matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Astros on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the most recent MLB news and our data-led MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the latest probabilities and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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