Astros vs. Guardians Prediction: Guardians Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Saturday's MLB Game [9/28/2024]

The Cleveland Guardians and Houston Astros will lock horns in MLB action at Progressive Field on Saturday, starting at 6:10PM ET.

Ben Lively (13-9, 3.80 ERA) will start on the mound for the Guardians, while the Astros have opted for Justin Verlander (4-6, 5.55 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Guardians as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Astros-Guardians game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Guardians are more likely to win, while the Astros have a lower chance of victory."

Astros vs. Guardians Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB game between the Guardians and Astros at Progressive Field is scheduled to start at 6:10PM ET.

• Who: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
• Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024
• Time: 6:10PM ET/3:10PM PT
• Venue: Progressive Field
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Guardians and Astros gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch the game on FuboTV

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Astros vs. Guardians matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Guardians vs. Astros picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Astros vs. Guardians Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB game between the Astros and Guardians 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Guardians a 54% chance of beating the Astros.

According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 65% chance of going over.

Astros vs. Guardians Odds [9/28/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Astros	Guardians
Run Line	+1.5 (-166)	-1.5 (+155)
Moneyline	+136	-140
Total	o7.5 (-112)	u7.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Astros vs. Guardians Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Astros vs. Guardians matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Guardians, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Astros on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Guardians insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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