Home Run Predictions, Props & Parlay for MLB Wednesday [5/31/2023]

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Wednesday, May 31. Tonight's parlay features players from the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks and Astros vs. Twins games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Wednesday's MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

If you haven't already, sign up for BetMGM ➡️here⬅️where you can bet this parlay and get up to $1,000 back if your bet loses. Plus, both new and existing users can score bonus bets on Wednesdays and Saturdays. It is by far the best promo out there to bet on baseball this Spring.

MLB +2525 Home Run Parlay For Wednesday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Christian Walker 1+ HR	+425
Kyle Tucker 1+ HR	+400

BEST BETS: Wednesday's Best Bets from Every Sport - May 31, 2023

Wednesday MLB Parlay Analysis

NOTE: Today's parlay was originally Will Smith and Francisco Alvarez but with Alvarez scratched, we've made a new parlay.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks 9:40PM ET

LEG 1: Christian Walker 1+ HR (+425) with BetMGM

Walker let us down last night, but he's a home run hitter at his core and missing out last night simply makes him another day due. He's got 11 long balls on the year but is searching for his first in his past 11 games. Our model gives Walker a 27.4% probability to hit a home run and he gets a pitching matchup with the Rockies' Dinelson Lamet, who returns from the 15-day IL tonight.

Lamet was operating primarily as a reliever in the first month of the season and has a bloated 12.66 ERA in just 9.2 total innings pitched. It remains to be seen if he'll gets much room to run in this one, but as we pointed out last night, the Rockies have a lower-tier bullpen that offers just as much home run potential.

⚾️ Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks

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Astros vs. Twins 8:10PM ET

LEG 2: Kyle Tucker 1+ HR (+400) with BetMGM

Since May 19th, neither of these sluggers has hit a home run, so in addition to DimersBOT's cutting-edge predictive analytics, we've got destiny on our side tonight. DimersBOT is giving Tucker a substantial 24.8% probability to go yard in this one, giving us about a 5% edge in the odds.

Opposing pitcher Louie Varland has started six games this year, coughing up home runs in all but one of them, and multiple homers in three of them. His metrics are highly exploitable, as he gives up hard-hit balls and his barrel % is in the bottom sixth percentile of MLB.

⚾️ Astros vs. Twins Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Astros vs. Twins

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MLB +2525 Home Run Parlay Wednesday, May 31, 2023

1️⃣ Christian Walker 1+ HR
2️⃣ Kyle Tucker 1+ HR

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Wednesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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