Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Sunday [7/9/2023]

It's time to end the week with a couple of dingers with our two-leg MLB Home Run Parlay for Sunday, July 9. Today's parlay features two players from the Padres vs. Mets and the Giants vs. Rockies games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Our model's best bets across all sports today

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MLB Home Run Parlay For Sunday

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Wilmer Flores 1+ HR	+500
Manny Machado 1+ HR	+410

Sunday MLB Parlay Analysis

Padres vs. Mets, 4:10PM ET

LEG 1: Manny Machado 1+ HR (+410) with DraftKings

We kick off our +2960 Home Run Parlay for Sunday with the one and only Manny Machado. Machado will be facing Max Scherzer today, and the two are extremely familiar with eachother's work, with 56 plate appearances against Mad Max in Machado's career. The big difference now is that Scherzer has been giving up more home runs than ever before in his career. Scherzer has given up at least one dinger in each of his last six outings, culminating in three homers given up in his last start. 

Machado has three homers against Scherzer in his career, and Manny is feeling good lately as well, with two homers in his last three games. At +410 odds, this is too good to pass up, and DimersBOT agrees, marking Machado as a 29% probability to go deep, good for a 9.4% edge on the books.

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Giants vs. Rockies, 4:05PM ET

LEG 2: Wilmer Flores 1+ HR (+500) with DraftKings

To pair with Machado, we're swooping in for Wilmer Flores at +500 odds. Flores faces Rockies starter Kyle Freeland today, who, for lack of a better word, has had a ROCKY season thus far. Get it? Okay, horrible puns aside, Freeland has given up four homers across his last three games. 

Flores has homered off Freeland before, and with his spot at 2nd in the San Francisco lineup, he's going to get plenty of cracks at it today. DimersBOT gives Flores a 30% likelihood to hit one out today, good for a massive 13.3% edge on his +500 odds. Pair it with Machado and we're dancing!

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Sunday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

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MLB Props Parlay Sunday July 9, 2023

1️⃣ Manny Machado 1+ HR
2️⃣ - 1+ HR

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing