Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Friday [7/7/23]

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Friday, July 7. Tonight's parlay features players from the Twins vs. Orioles and Astros vs. Mariners games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Friday's +121 MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

If you haven't already, sign up for BetMGM➡️here⬅️where you can bet this HR parlay and get up to $1000 back if it loses. It is by far the best promo out there to bet on baseball this Summer.

RELATED: Best Bets Today for All Sports - Friday, July 7

MLB +2218 Home Run Parlay For Friday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Byron Buxton 1+ HR	+280
Kyle Tucker 1+ HR	+510

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Friday MLB Parlay Analysis

Twins vs. Orioles 8:10PM ET

LEG 1: Byron Buxton 1+ HR (+280) with BetMGM

It's incredibly rare that our model loves a home run prop as much as this one.

Minnesota's Byron Buxton is our highest probability prop of the entire slate tonight, earning a 40.5% probability of going yard, good for an astronomical 14.2% edge on the sportsbooks at his +280 odds. Buxton will be facing Orioles starter Cole Irvin tonight. These two have only squared off for three total at-bats in their careers, but Buxton secured a hit and a walk in those meetings, so clearly he sees the ball well.

Irvin has an absurd 6.32 ERA on the season, and he has only thrown a total of 5+ innings twice in nine appearances. This could be a big bullpen day, and Buxton will have a chance to feast. Irvin also gave up three homers in one game last month against the Cubs, he can be prone to giving up explosive hits in bunches. Expect Buxton to capitalize.

⚾️ Predictions for Twins vs. Orioles
📈 Twins vs. Orioles Betting Preview

---

Astros vs. Mariners 8:10PM ET

LEG 2: Kyle Tucker 1+ HR (+510) with BetMGM

For our second leg of the Home Run Parlay tonight, we're looking to Houston and Kyle Tucker.

Tucker faces Mariners starter Luis Castillo tonight, and luckily for Tucker backers, he has a positive history here. Tucker has a .500 average against Castillo in six career at-bats, including a single, a double and a home run.

Tucker has the ability to pop at any given second, and Castillo is one of the most inviting pitchers to hit home runs against. He has given up two home runs in four of his last five starts. DimersBOT rates Tucker as a 27.8% probability to go yard tonight, good for an 11.4% edge on his massive +510 odds.

⚾️ Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners
📈 Astros vs. Mariners Betting Preview

---

MLB +2210 Home Run Parlay Friday, July 7, 2023

1️⃣ Byron Buxton 1+ HR
2️⃣ Kyle Tucker 1+ HR

MORE: Top Five MLB Props and +9897 Lotto Parlay

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Friday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

Remember to gamble responsibly and set limits on your betting activities. Set a budget for yourself and stick to it, and never bet more than you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.